Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin trader consensus for no change or a possible 25-basis-point hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, while unemployment held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. Geopolitical pressures on energy prices and the current 3.50-3.75% target range have reinforced expectations that policymakers will maintain a restrictive stance, consistent with recent projections showing limited easing before mid-2027. The September 15-16 meeting and updated dot plot will provide the next key signal on whether incoming data shifts these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNo change 57%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 23%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.7%
$71,044 Vol.
$71,044 Vol.
27 ene 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
57%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
23%
Aumento de 50+ puntos básicos
2%
No change 57%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 23%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.7%
$71,044 Vol.
$71,044 Vol.
27 ene 2027
50+ bps decrease
$13,983 Vol.
5%
25 bps decrease
$14,873 Vol.
14%
No change
$21,182 Vol.
57%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$17,021 Vol.
23%
Aumento de 50+ puntos básicos
$3,985 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin trader consensus for no change or a possible 25-basis-point hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, while unemployment held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. Geopolitical pressures on energy prices and the current 3.50-3.75% target range have reinforced expectations that policymakers will maintain a restrictive stance, consistent with recent projections showing limited easing before mid-2027. The September 15-16 meeting and updated dot plot will provide the next key signal on whether incoming data shifts these market-implied probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Volumen
$71,044Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin trader consensus for no change or a possible 25-basis-point hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, while unemployment held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. Geopolitical pressures on energy prices and the current 3.50-3.75% target range have reinforced expectations that policymakers will maintain a restrictive stance, consistent with recent projections showing limited easing before mid-2027. The September 15-16 meeting and updated dot plot will provide the next key signal on whether incoming data shifts these market-implied probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$71,044Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin trader consensus for no change or a possible 25-basis-point hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, while unemployment held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. Geopolitical pressures on energy prices and the current 3.50-3.75% target range have reinforced expectations that policymakers will maintain a restrictive stance, consistent with recent projections showing limited easing before mid-2027. The September 15-16 meeting and updated dot plot will provide the next key signal on whether incoming data shifts these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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