Recent FOMC decisions and incoming data have produced closely matched probabilities across dissent levels of zero to three at the January 2027 meeting. The July 29 hold at 3.50-3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent inflation at 3.5% year-over-year in June and a still-solid labor market with unemployment at 4.2%. Traders weigh the June core CPI easing to 2.6% against risks of reacceleration, alongside the September dot plot and August CPI release due August 12. This balance leaves outcomes tightly contested, with differentiation hinging on whether subsequent inflation prints and growth indicators reinforce hawkish or consensus views.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
19%
1
22%
2
24%
3
24%
4 o más
18%
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
$961 Vol.
19%
1
$305 Vol.
22%
2
$56 Vol.
24%
3
$4,101 Vol.
24%
4 o más
$185 Vol.
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC decisions and incoming data have produced closely matched probabilities across dissent levels of zero to three at the January 2027 meeting. The July 29 hold at 3.50-3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent inflation at 3.5% year-over-year in June and a still-solid labor market with unemployment at 4.2%. Traders weigh the June core CPI easing to 2.6% against risks of reacceleration, alongside the September dot plot and August CPI release due August 12. This balance leaves outcomes tightly contested, with differentiation hinging on whether subsequent inflation prints and growth indicators reinforce hawkish or consensus views.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$5,608Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC decisions and incoming data have produced closely matched probabilities across dissent levels of zero to three at the January 2027 meeting. The July 29 hold at 3.50-3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent inflation at 3.5% year-over-year in June and a still-solid labor market with unemployment at 4.2%. Traders weigh the June core CPI easing to 2.6% against risks of reacceleration, alongside the September dot plot and August CPI release due August 12. This balance leaves outcomes tightly contested, with differentiation hinging on whether subsequent inflation prints and growth indicators reinforce hawkish or consensus views.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$5,608Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC decisions and incoming data have produced closely matched probabilities across dissent levels of zero to three at the January 2027 meeting. The July 29 hold at 3.50-3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent inflation at 3.5% year-over-year in June and a still-solid labor market with unemployment at 4.2%. Traders weigh the June core CPI easing to 2.6% against risks of reacceleration, alongside the September dot plot and August CPI release due August 12. This balance leaves outcomes tightly contested, with differentiation hinging on whether subsequent inflation prints and growth indicators reinforce hawkish or consensus views.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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