Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation risks tied to Middle East energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, with the federal funds target range holding steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April 29 FOMC meeting. Strong April jobs growth, unemployment near 4.3%, and first-quarter GDP expansion around 2% signal a soft landing that reduces the need for crisis-driven easing outside scheduled policy reviews. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now defer any cuts until 2027, reflecting sticky core inflation near 3% and a robust labor market that allows policymakers to prioritize price stability. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game pricing of low near-term distress, a sharp deterioration in employment or acute financial market stress could still prompt an intermeeting move.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation risks tied to Middle East energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, with the federal funds target range holding steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April 29 FOMC meeting. Strong April jobs growth, unemployment near 4.3%, and first-quarter GDP expansion around 2% signal a soft landing that reduces the need for crisis-driven easing outside scheduled policy reviews. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now defer any cuts until 2027, reflecting sticky core inflation near 3% and a robust labor market that allows policymakers to prioritize price stability. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game pricing of low near-term distress, a sharp deterioration in employment or acute financial market stress could still prompt an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,161Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation risks tied to Middle East energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, with the federal funds target range holding steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April 29 FOMC meeting. Strong April jobs growth, unemployment near 4.3%, and first-quarter GDP expansion around 2% signal a soft landing that reduces the need for crisis-driven easing outside scheduled policy reviews. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now defer any cuts until 2027, reflecting sticky core inflation near 3% and a robust labor market that allows policymakers to prioritize price stability. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game pricing of low near-term distress, a sharp deterioration in employment or acute financial market stress could still prompt an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,161Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation risks tied to Middle East energy price shocks have anchored trader expectations against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, with the federal funds target range holding steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April 29 FOMC meeting. Strong April jobs growth, unemployment near 4.3%, and first-quarter GDP expansion around 2% signal a soft landing that reduces the need for crisis-driven easing outside scheduled policy reviews. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now defer any cuts until 2027, reflecting sticky core inflation near 3% and a robust labor market that allows policymakers to prioritize price stability. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game pricing of low near-term distress, a sharp deterioration in employment or acute financial market stress could still prompt an intermeeting move.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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