April 2026 consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-on-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8% and up from March's 1.0%, primarily driven by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict; this catalyzed Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 43% implied probability for 1.1-1.5% annual inflation as the leading outcome. Producer prices hit a 45-month high of 2.8%, reflecting imported inflation pressures, while core CPI held at 1.2% amid persistent deflation in housing (-0.1%) and clothing (-0.3%), underscoring weak domestic demand. Nomura's full-year forecast remains subdued at 0.6%, with PBOC signaling policy flexibility. Key catalysts include May CPI data and Q2 GDP release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de China 2026
Inflación anual de China 2026
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
0,6 – 1,0% 23%
1.6 – 2.0% 22.6%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 Vol.
$40,788 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
45%
1.6 – 2.0%
23%
2.0-2.4%
10%
2.5%+
10%
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
0,6 – 1,0% 23%
1.6 – 2.0% 22.6%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 Vol.
$40,788 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
$17,491 Vol.
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,851 Vol.
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
$2,956 Vol.
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
$3,463 Vol.
45%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 Vol.
23%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 Vol.
10%
2.5%+
$2,542 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/April 2026 consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-on-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8% and up from March's 1.0%, primarily driven by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict; this catalyzed Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 43% implied probability for 1.1-1.5% annual inflation as the leading outcome. Producer prices hit a 45-month high of 2.8%, reflecting imported inflation pressures, while core CPI held at 1.2% amid persistent deflation in housing (-0.1%) and clothing (-0.3%), underscoring weak domestic demand. Nomura's full-year forecast remains subdued at 0.6%, with PBOC signaling policy flexibility. Key catalysts include May CPI data and Q2 GDP release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$40,788Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/April 2026 consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-on-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8% and up from March's 1.0%, primarily driven by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict; this catalyzed Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 43% implied probability for 1.1-1.5% annual inflation as the leading outcome. Producer prices hit a 45-month high of 2.8%, reflecting imported inflation pressures, while core CPI held at 1.2% amid persistent deflation in housing (-0.1%) and clothing (-0.3%), underscoring weak domestic demand. Nomura's full-year forecast remains subdued at 0.6%, with PBOC signaling policy flexibility. Key catalysts include May CPI data and Q2 GDP release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volumen
$40,788Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...April 2026 consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-on-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8% and up from March's 1.0%, primarily driven by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict; this catalyzed Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 43% implied probability for 1.1-1.5% annual inflation as the leading outcome. Producer prices hit a 45-month high of 2.8%, reflecting imported inflation pressures, while core CPI held at 1.2% amid persistent deflation in housing (-0.1%) and clothing (-0.3%), underscoring weak domestic demand. Nomura's full-year forecast remains subdued at 0.6%, with PBOC signaling policy flexibility. Key catalysts include May CPI data and Q2 GDP release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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