Recent July 2026 CPI data showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month, matching consensus and marking the second consecutive soft print with the year-over-year rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August 2026 core CPI currently stand at 0.2%, reinforcing trader focus on continued moderation amid stable shelter inflation and subdued goods prices. With the August report due September 11, market-implied odds heavily favor a repeat 0.2% outcome at 46.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around persistent but contained underlying inflation pressures rather than reacceleration or sharp disinflation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0,2% 38%
0,1% 23%
0,3% 20%
≤0,0% 15%
≤0,0%
15%
0,1%
23%
0,2%
38%
0,3%
20%
0,4%
7%
0,5%
7%
0,6%+
6%
0,2% 38%
0,1% 23%
0,3% 20%
≤0,0% 15%
≤0,0%
15%
0,1%
23%
0,2%
38%
0,3%
20%
0,4%
7%
0,5%
7%
0,6%+
6%
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month, matching consensus and marking the second consecutive soft print with the year-over-year rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August 2026 core CPI currently stand at 0.2%, reinforcing trader focus on continued moderation amid stable shelter inflation and subdued goods prices. With the August report due September 11, market-implied odds heavily favor a repeat 0.2% outcome at 46.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around persistent but contained underlying inflation pressures rather than reacceleration or sharp disinflation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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