Recent August 2026 national core CPI readings at 1.7% year-over-year, down from 1.8% in July and below consensus, anchor the 71% market-implied odds on a ≤1.9% outcome for the full-year figure. Government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have offset pass-through from elevated crude oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core-core inflation excluding fresh food and energy held at 1.9%. The Bank of Japan’s September rate hike to 1.25% reflects gradual normalization but also underscores that underlying price pressures have not yet produced a sustained breach of the 2% target. With Tokyo metrics similarly contained near 1.8%, traders price in continued moderation for 2026 absent sharper wage-driven or commodity shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤1,9% 71.0%
2.0-2.4% 19%
2,5-2,9% 7.1%
3,5-3,9 % 1.2%
$45,976 Vol.
$45,976 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
71%
2.0-2.4%
19%
2,5-2,9%
7%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3,5-3,9 %
1%
4.0%+
1%
≤1,9% 71.0%
2.0-2.4% 19%
2,5-2,9% 7.1%
3,5-3,9 % 1.2%
$45,976 Vol.
$45,976 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
$22,952 Vol.
71%
2.0-2.4%
$12,208 Vol.
19%
2,5-2,9%
$5,934 Vol.
7%
3.0-3.4%
$1,884 Vol.
<1%
3,5-3,9 %
$1,324 Vol.
1%
4.0%+
$1,675 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 national core CPI readings at 1.7% year-over-year, down from 1.8% in July and below consensus, anchor the 71% market-implied odds on a ≤1.9% outcome for the full-year figure. Government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have offset pass-through from elevated crude oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core-core inflation excluding fresh food and energy held at 1.9%. The Bank of Japan’s September rate hike to 1.25% reflects gradual normalization but also underscores that underlying price pressures have not yet produced a sustained breach of the 2% target. With Tokyo metrics similarly contained near 1.8%, traders price in continued moderation for 2026 absent sharper wage-driven or commodity shocks.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$45,976Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 national core CPI readings at 1.7% year-over-year, down from 1.8% in July and below consensus, anchor the 71% market-implied odds on a ≤1.9% outcome for the full-year figure. Government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have offset pass-through from elevated crude oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core-core inflation excluding fresh food and energy held at 1.9%. The Bank of Japan’s September rate hike to 1.25% reflects gradual normalization but also underscores that underlying price pressures have not yet produced a sustained breach of the 2% target. With Tokyo metrics similarly contained near 1.8%, traders price in continued moderation for 2026 absent sharper wage-driven or commodity shocks.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$45,976Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 national core CPI readings at 1.7% year-over-year, down from 1.8% in July and below consensus, anchor the 71% market-implied odds on a ≤1.9% outcome for the full-year figure. Government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have offset pass-through from elevated crude oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core-core inflation excluding fresh food and energy held at 1.9%. The Bank of Japan’s September rate hike to 1.25% reflects gradual normalization but also underscores that underlying price pressures have not yet produced a sustained breach of the 2% target. With Tokyo metrics similarly contained near 1.8%, traders price in continued moderation for 2026 absent sharper wage-driven or commodity shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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