Recent Japanese core CPI readings have remained subdued, with the nationwide measure at 1.6% year-over-year in June 2026 and Tokyo core at 1.9% in July, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook report lowered its fiscal 2026 core inflation projection to a 2.3-2.7% range while holding the policy rate at 1%, citing softer underlying demand-driven pressures and favorable base effects. These developments, alongside falling oil prices post-U.S.-Iran developments, underpin the market-implied 51.2% probability on ≤1.9% and 34.5% on 2.0-2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on contained price momentum through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include August CPI releases and the next BoJ policy meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤1,9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 4.5%
2,5-2,9% 1.0%
$35,193 Vol.
$35,193 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
35%
2,5-2,9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
5%
3,5-3,9 %
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1,9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 4.5%
2,5-2,9% 1.0%
$35,193 Vol.
$35,193 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
$16,739 Vol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$10,505 Vol.
35%
2,5-2,9%
$5,093 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,044 Vol.
5%
3,5-3,9 %
$800 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japanese core CPI readings have remained subdued, with the nationwide measure at 1.6% year-over-year in June 2026 and Tokyo core at 1.9% in July, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook report lowered its fiscal 2026 core inflation projection to a 2.3-2.7% range while holding the policy rate at 1%, citing softer underlying demand-driven pressures and favorable base effects. These developments, alongside falling oil prices post-U.S.-Iran developments, underpin the market-implied 51.2% probability on ≤1.9% and 34.5% on 2.0-2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on contained price momentum through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include August CPI releases and the next BoJ policy meeting.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$35,193Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japanese core CPI readings have remained subdued, with the nationwide measure at 1.6% year-over-year in June 2026 and Tokyo core at 1.9% in July, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook report lowered its fiscal 2026 core inflation projection to a 2.3-2.7% range while holding the policy rate at 1%, citing softer underlying demand-driven pressures and favorable base effects. These developments, alongside falling oil prices post-U.S.-Iran developments, underpin the market-implied 51.2% probability on ≤1.9% and 34.5% on 2.0-2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on contained price momentum through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include August CPI releases and the next BoJ policy meeting.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$35,193Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japanese core CPI readings have remained subdued, with the nationwide measure at 1.6% year-over-year in June 2026 and Tokyo core at 1.9% in July, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook report lowered its fiscal 2026 core inflation projection to a 2.3-2.7% range while holding the policy rate at 1%, citing softer underlying demand-driven pressures and favorable base effects. These developments, alongside falling oil prices post-U.S.-Iran developments, underpin the market-implied 51.2% probability on ≤1.9% and 34.5% on 2.0-2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on contained price momentum through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include August CPI releases and the next BoJ policy meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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