Recent monthly inflation readings near 1.9-2.1% and year-over-year rates around 33.5% in mid-2026 reflect continued disinflation under fiscal austerity and exchange-rate stability, pulling trader consensus toward the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets. Analyst surveys from the Central Bank of Argentina and forecasts from BBVA and the IMF cluster near 29-30.4% for year-end 2026, creating tight competition between those ranges as markets weigh persistent price inertia against further policy-driven moderation. Upcoming INDEC releases and revised central-bank expectations remain key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30.0-34.9% 51.2%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24,9% 1.8%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
2%
25-29,9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
51%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.2%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24,9% 1.8%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29,9%
$12,331 Vol.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$10,612 Vol.
51%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44,9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation readings near 1.9-2.1% and year-over-year rates around 33.5% in mid-2026 reflect continued disinflation under fiscal austerity and exchange-rate stability, pulling trader consensus toward the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets. Analyst surveys from the Central Bank of Argentina and forecasts from BBVA and the IMF cluster near 29-30.4% for year-end 2026, creating tight competition between those ranges as markets weigh persistent price inertia against further policy-driven moderation. Upcoming INDEC releases and revised central-bank expectations remain key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities before year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$41,125Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation readings near 1.9-2.1% and year-over-year rates around 33.5% in mid-2026 reflect continued disinflation under fiscal austerity and exchange-rate stability, pulling trader consensus toward the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets. Analyst surveys from the Central Bank of Argentina and forecasts from BBVA and the IMF cluster near 29-30.4% for year-end 2026, creating tight competition between those ranges as markets weigh persistent price inertia against further policy-driven moderation. Upcoming INDEC releases and revised central-bank expectations remain key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities before year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$41,125Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation readings near 1.9-2.1% and year-over-year rates around 33.5% in mid-2026 reflect continued disinflation under fiscal austerity and exchange-rate stability, pulling trader consensus toward the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets. Analyst surveys from the Central Bank of Argentina and forecasts from BBVA and the IMF cluster near 29-30.4% for year-end 2026, creating tight competition between those ranges as markets weigh persistent price inertia against further policy-driven moderation. Upcoming INDEC releases and revised central-bank expectations remain key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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