Recent central bank market expectations survey data lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, anchoring trader consensus near the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket that currently commands 30.1 percent implied probability. Year-over-year readings have eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, supported by fiscal measures limiting regulated price adjustments and a stable peso crawling band, yet core components and external oil-price pressures continue to introduce upside risks. The tight spread between the 30-34.9 percent and 40-44.9 percent outcomes reflects ongoing debate over the speed of disinflation relative to analyst projections, with upcoming INDEC releases and monetary-policy signals likely to determine whether the path stays within the current leading range or shifts higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-44,9% 24.3%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29,9% 20%
20-24,9% 17.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ene 2027
<20%
7%
20-24,9%
18%
25-29,9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
17%
40-44,9%
24%
45%+
9%
40-44,9% 24.3%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29,9% 20%
20-24,9% 17.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ene 2027
<20%
$2,516 Vol.
7%
20-24,9%
$1,429 Vol.
18%
25-29,9%
$1,626 Vol.
25%
30.0-34.9%
$976 Vol.
30%
35–39.9%
$1,121 Vol.
17%
40-44,9%
$928 Vol.
24%
45%+
$1,156 Vol.
9%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank market expectations survey data lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, anchoring trader consensus near the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket that currently commands 30.1 percent implied probability. Year-over-year readings have eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, supported by fiscal measures limiting regulated price adjustments and a stable peso crawling band, yet core components and external oil-price pressures continue to introduce upside risks. The tight spread between the 30-34.9 percent and 40-44.9 percent outcomes reflects ongoing debate over the speed of disinflation relative to analyst projections, with upcoming INDEC releases and monetary-policy signals likely to determine whether the path stays within the current leading range or shifts higher.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$9,752Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank market expectations survey data lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, anchoring trader consensus near the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket that currently commands 30.1 percent implied probability. Year-over-year readings have eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, supported by fiscal measures limiting regulated price adjustments and a stable peso crawling band, yet core components and external oil-price pressures continue to introduce upside risks. The tight spread between the 30-34.9 percent and 40-44.9 percent outcomes reflects ongoing debate over the speed of disinflation relative to analyst projections, with upcoming INDEC releases and monetary-policy signals likely to determine whether the path stays within the current leading range or shifts higher.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$9,752Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank market expectations survey data lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, anchoring trader consensus near the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket that currently commands 30.1 percent implied probability. Year-over-year readings have eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, supported by fiscal measures limiting regulated price adjustments and a stable peso crawling band, yet core components and external oil-price pressures continue to introduce upside risks. The tight spread between the 30-34.9 percent and 40-44.9 percent outcomes reflects ongoing debate over the speed of disinflation relative to analyst projections, with upcoming INDEC releases and monetary-policy signals likely to determine whether the path stays within the current leading range or shifts higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes