The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.27% as of September 2, 2026, driven primarily by elevated inflation expectations from oil prices near $95 per barrel, persistent PCE inflation above 4%, and heavy Treasury supply amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and reduced demand for long-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%, with projections split on potential 2026 hikes; recent hawkish signals from Chair Warsh and Governor Barr underscore inflation risks over labor market stability at 4.2% unemployment. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, CPI releases, and ongoing supply dynamics into 2027 that could sustain upward pressure on long-end yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 dic 2026
6,00%
50%
5,80%
50%
5,70%
50%
5,65%
50%
5,60%
50%
5,55%
50%
5,50%
50%
5,45%
51%
5,40%
51%
$0.00 Vol.
6,00%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,80%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,70%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,65%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,60%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,55%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,50%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,45%
$0 Vol.
51%
5,40%
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.27% as of September 2, 2026, driven primarily by elevated inflation expectations from oil prices near $95 per barrel, persistent PCE inflation above 4%, and heavy Treasury supply amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and reduced demand for long-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%, with projections split on potential 2026 hikes; recent hawkish signals from Chair Warsh and Governor Barr underscore inflation risks over labor market stability at 4.2% unemployment. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, CPI releases, and ongoing supply dynamics into 2027 that could sustain upward pressure on long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.27% as of September 2, 2026, driven primarily by elevated inflation expectations from oil prices near $95 per barrel, persistent PCE inflation above 4%, and heavy Treasury supply amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and reduced demand for long-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%, with projections split on potential 2026 hikes; recent hawkish signals from Chair Warsh and Governor Barr underscore inflation risks over labor market stability at 4.2% unemployment. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, CPI releases, and ongoing supply dynamics into 2027 that could sustain upward pressure on long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.27% as of September 2, 2026, driven primarily by elevated inflation expectations from oil prices near $95 per barrel, persistent PCE inflation above 4%, and heavy Treasury supply amid federal debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fiscal deficits projected near 6.6% of GDP, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and reduced demand for long-duration bonds. The Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%, with projections split on potential 2026 hikes; recent hawkish signals from Chair Warsh and Governor Barr underscore inflation risks over labor market stability at 4.2% unemployment. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, CPI releases, and ongoing supply dynamics into 2027 that could sustain upward pressure on long-end yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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