Tight cattle inventories, down roughly 8% since 2019, combined with elevated feed and fertilizer costs, continue to constrain U.S. beef production forecasts for 2026, which USDA lowered slightly in July amid slower fed-cattle slaughter. July 2026 ground beef averaged $6.885 per pound, with retail prices already up over 10% year-over-year and further gains of 9–10% projected as lean supplies remain tight despite rising imports. Strong consumer demand has supported record wholesale cutout values near $350/cwt, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half if affordability pressures intensify. Herd expansion signals are emerging but remain modest, with full supply recovery unlikely before 2028.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La carne molida llegará a __ en 2026?
¿La carne molida llegará a __ en 2026?
$21,425 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$7.000+
50%
$8.000+
46%
$9.000+
16%
$10.000+
14%
$21,425 Vol.
$7.000+
$59 Vol.
50%
$8.000+
$1,918 Vol.
46%
$9.000+
$740 Vol.
16%
$10.000+
$18,707 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories, down roughly 8% since 2019, combined with elevated feed and fertilizer costs, continue to constrain U.S. beef production forecasts for 2026, which USDA lowered slightly in July amid slower fed-cattle slaughter. July 2026 ground beef averaged $6.885 per pound, with retail prices already up over 10% year-over-year and further gains of 9–10% projected as lean supplies remain tight despite rising imports. Strong consumer demand has supported record wholesale cutout values near $350/cwt, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half if affordability pressures intensify. Herd expansion signals are emerging but remain modest, with full supply recovery unlikely before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$21,425Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories, down roughly 8% since 2019, combined with elevated feed and fertilizer costs, continue to constrain U.S. beef production forecasts for 2026, which USDA lowered slightly in July amid slower fed-cattle slaughter. July 2026 ground beef averaged $6.885 per pound, with retail prices already up over 10% year-over-year and further gains of 9–10% projected as lean supplies remain tight despite rising imports. Strong consumer demand has supported record wholesale cutout values near $350/cwt, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half if affordability pressures intensify. Herd expansion signals are emerging but remain modest, with full supply recovery unlikely before 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,425Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle inventories, down roughly 8% since 2019, combined with elevated feed and fertilizer costs, continue to constrain U.S. beef production forecasts for 2026, which USDA lowered slightly in July amid slower fed-cattle slaughter. July 2026 ground beef averaged $6.885 per pound, with retail prices already up over 10% year-over-year and further gains of 9–10% projected as lean supplies remain tight despite rising imports. Strong consumer demand has supported record wholesale cutout values near $350/cwt, though analysts note potential moderation in the second half if affordability pressures intensify. Herd expansion signals are emerging but remain modest, with full supply recovery unlikely before 2028.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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