Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations and little changed from June, anchors trader focus on the 53.0–54.9 ranges that together command nearly half the market-implied probability for the August release. Persistent services-sector expansion above 50 for over two years, supported by stronger business activity and new orders alongside the FIFA World Cup lift, competes with renewed employment contraction and elevated prices paid amid tariff and energy-cost pressures. This balance of resilient demand against labor-market softening and input inflation creates tight clustering, with outcomes hinging on August employment, supplier deliveries, and prices subindexes. The September 3 release will test whether the 54-ish level holds or shifts amid broader labor and inflation data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado58.0+ 37%
53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 23%
52.0–52.9 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
<50.0
4%
50.0–50.9
9%
51.0–51.9
8%
52.0–52.9
20%
53.0–53.9
25%
54.0–54.9
23%
55.0–55.9
13%
56.0–56.9
9%
57.0–57.9
4%
58.0+
37%
58.0+ 37%
53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 23%
52.0–52.9 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
<50.0
$40 Vol.
4%
50.0–50.9
$45 Vol.
9%
51.0–51.9
$80 Vol.
8%
52.0–52.9
$142 Vol.
20%
53.0–53.9
$83 Vol.
25%
54.0–54.9
$100 Vol.
23%
55.0–55.9
$40 Vol.
13%
56.0–56.9
$40 Vol.
9%
57.0–57.9
$40 Vol.
4%
58.0+
$78 Vol.
37%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations and little changed from June, anchors trader focus on the 53.0–54.9 ranges that together command nearly half the market-implied probability for the August release. Persistent services-sector expansion above 50 for over two years, supported by stronger business activity and new orders alongside the FIFA World Cup lift, competes with renewed employment contraction and elevated prices paid amid tariff and energy-cost pressures. This balance of resilient demand against labor-market softening and input inflation creates tight clustering, with outcomes hinging on August employment, supplier deliveries, and prices subindexes. The September 3 release will test whether the 54-ish level holds or shifts amid broader labor and inflation data.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volumen
$688Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations and little changed from June, anchors trader focus on the 53.0–54.9 ranges that together command nearly half the market-implied probability for the August release. Persistent services-sector expansion above 50 for over two years, supported by stronger business activity and new orders alongside the FIFA World Cup lift, competes with renewed employment contraction and elevated prices paid amid tariff and energy-cost pressures. This balance of resilient demand against labor-market softening and input inflation creates tight clustering, with outcomes hinging on August employment, supplier deliveries, and prices subindexes. The September 3 release will test whether the 54-ish level holds or shifts amid broader labor and inflation data.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$688Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations and little changed from June, anchors trader focus on the 53.0–54.9 ranges that together command nearly half the market-implied probability for the August release. Persistent services-sector expansion above 50 for over two years, supported by stronger business activity and new orders alongside the FIFA World Cup lift, competes with renewed employment contraction and elevated prices paid amid tariff and energy-cost pressures. This balance of resilient demand against labor-market softening and input inflation creates tight clustering, with outcomes hinging on August employment, supplier deliveries, and prices subindexes. The September 3 release will test whether the 54-ish level holds or shifts amid broader labor and inflation data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes