The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s final 55.2 and below consensus forecasts near 54.5–55.0, with both the current-conditions and expectations sub-indices weakening amid rising year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.3%. The drop reversed two months of gains and reflected broad deterioration across demographics, driven by concerns over higher living costs tied to Middle East developments. With the final August reading due August 28, trader-implied probabilities concentrate in the 49.0–54.9 range, consistent with historical revisions around preliminary prints and the latest data point anchoring near 51.0.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado49.0–51.9 42%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 10.4%
55.0–57.9 8%
$19,311 Vol.
$19,311 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<49.0
9%
49.0–51.9
42%
52.0–54.9
31%
55.0–57.9
8%
58.0–60.9
4%
61.0–63.9
4%
64.0+
4%
49.0–51.9 42%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 10.4%
55.0–57.9 8%
$19,311 Vol.
$19,311 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<49.0
$898 Vol.
9%
49.0–51.9
$2,007 Vol.
42%
52.0–54.9
$10,541 Vol.
31%
55.0–57.9
$3,578 Vol.
8%
58.0–60.9
$1,046 Vol.
4%
61.0–63.9
$563 Vol.
4%
64.0+
$679 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s final 55.2 and below consensus forecasts near 54.5–55.0, with both the current-conditions and expectations sub-indices weakening amid rising year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.3%. The drop reversed two months of gains and reflected broad deterioration across demographics, driven by concerns over higher living costs tied to Middle East developments. With the final August reading due August 28, trader-implied probabilities concentrate in the 49.0–54.9 range, consistent with historical revisions around preliminary prints and the latest data point anchoring near 51.0.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$19,311Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s final 55.2 and below consensus forecasts near 54.5–55.0, with both the current-conditions and expectations sub-indices weakening amid rising year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.3%. The drop reversed two months of gains and reflected broad deterioration across demographics, driven by concerns over higher living costs tied to Middle East developments. With the final August reading due August 28, trader-implied probabilities concentrate in the 49.0–54.9 range, consistent with historical revisions around preliminary prints and the latest data point anchoring near 51.0.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$19,311Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s final 55.2 and below consensus forecasts near 54.5–55.0, with both the current-conditions and expectations sub-indices weakening amid rising year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.3%. The drop reversed two months of gains and reflected broad deterioration across demographics, driven by concerns over higher living costs tied to Middle East developments. With the final August reading due August 28, trader-implied probabilities concentrate in the 49.0–54.9 range, consistent with historical revisions around preliminary prints and the latest data point anchoring near 51.0.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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