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Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

sep 30

sep 30

$454K+ 100%

<$419K 50%

$419K - $426K 50%

$426K - $433K 50%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$454K+ 100%

<$419K 50%

$419K - $426K 50%

$426K - $433K 50%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$419K

$0 Vol.

50%

$419K - $426K

$0 Vol.

50%

$426K - $433K

$0 Vol.

50%

$433K - $440K

$0 Vol.

50%

$440K - $447K

$0 Vol.

50%

$447K - $454K

$0 Vol.

50%

$454K+

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Trader sentiment on US median home values as of September 30 reflects significant uncertainty amid evolving monetary policy and housing market dynamics. With probabilities evenly distributed across multiple price bands, market-implied odds indicate traders are pricing in a range of outcomes dependent on interest rate paths and economic indicators. Recent inflation data and labor market reports have kept expectations fluid, while mortgage rates tied to Treasury yields continue to influence affordability and transaction volumes. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and housing market releases, which could clarify whether values stabilize near current levels or shift based on broader economic conditions. The balanced odds highlight the sensitivity to new data releases in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Trader sentiment on US median home values as of September 30 reflects significant uncertainty amid evolving monetary policy and housing market dynamics. With probabilities evenly distributed across multiple price bands, market-implied odds indicate traders are pricing in a range of outcomes dependent on interest rate paths and economic indicators. Recent inflation data and labor market reports have kept expectations fluid, while mortgage rates tied to Treasury yields continue to influence affordability and transaction volumes. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and housing market releases, which could clarify whether values stabilize near current levels or shift based on broader economic conditions. The balanced odds highlight the sensitivity to new data releases in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$419K" con 50%, seguido de "$419K - $426K" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" es "<$419K" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$419K - $426K" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.