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What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

<$512K 100%

$512K - $518K 100%

$518K - $524K 100%

$524K - $530K 100%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$512K 100%

$512K - $518K 100%

$518K - $524K 100%

$524K - $530K 100%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$512K

$0 Vol.

100%

$512K - $518K

$0 Vol.

100%

$518K - $524K

$0 Vol.

100%

$524K - $530K

$0 Vol.

100%

$530K - $536K

$0 Vol.

100%

$536K - $542K

$0 Vol.

50%

$542K+

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce policy shifts and elevated inventory levels have introduced notable uncertainty into the DC Metro housing market, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $530K–$542K range for the September 30 median home value. Increased active listings, up sharply year-over-year, combined with modest price softening reported in Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026, reflect tempered buyer demand amid broader economic caution. Mortgage rate stability and regional employment trends tied to government spending remain key swing factors that could influence the final reading, with markets assigning nearly equal weight to adjacent price bands due to limited near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce policy shifts and elevated inventory levels have introduced notable uncertainty into the DC Metro housing market, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $530K–$542K range for the September 30 median home value. Increased active listings, up sharply year-over-year, combined with modest price softening reported in Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026, reflect tempered buyer demand amid broader economic caution. Mortgage rate stability and regional employment trends tied to government spending remain key swing factors that could influence the final reading, with markets assigning nearly equal weight to adjacent price bands due to limited near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$512K" con 50%, seguido de "$512K - $518K" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" es "<$512K" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$512K - $518K" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.