Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained at the Seoul Detention Centre following a February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, a conviction reinforced by an April appeals court ruling that increased his obstruction-of-justice term to seven years. Traders' 86.4% implied probability on "No" reflects the slow pace of South Korea's appellate process across multiple cases, including a recent second-trial start on related charges where Yoon sought judicial recusal, with no bail approvals or releases amid prosecutors' demands for severe penalties. Late-breaking appeals success or procedural shifts could alter odds, but structural barriers favor extended custody through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained at the Seoul Detention Centre following a February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, a conviction reinforced by an April appeals court ruling that increased his obstruction-of-justice term to seven years. Traders' 86.4% implied probability on "No" reflects the slow pace of South Korea's appellate process across multiple cases, including a recent second-trial start on related charges where Yoon sought judicial recusal, with no bail approvals or releases amid prosecutors' demands for severe penalties. Late-breaking appeals success or procedural shifts could alter odds, but structural barriers favor extended custody through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volumen
$11,298Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained at the Seoul Detention Centre following a February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, a conviction reinforced by an April appeals court ruling that increased his obstruction-of-justice term to seven years. Traders' 86.4% implied probability on "No" reflects the slow pace of South Korea's appellate process across multiple cases, including a recent second-trial start on related charges where Yoon sought judicial recusal, with no bail approvals or releases amid prosecutors' demands for severe penalties. Late-breaking appeals success or procedural shifts could alter odds, but structural barriers favor extended custody through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$11,298Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained at the Seoul Detention Centre following a February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, a conviction reinforced by an April appeals court ruling that increased his obstruction-of-justice term to seven years. Traders' 86.4% implied probability on "No" reflects the slow pace of South Korea's appellate process across multiple cases, including a recent second-trial start on related charges where Yoon sought judicial recusal, with no bail approvals or releases amid prosecutors' demands for severe penalties. Late-breaking appeals success or procedural shifts could alter odds, but structural barriers favor extended custody through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes