Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
6% probabilidad
$183,697 Vol.
$183,697 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
$183,697 Vol.
$183,697 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volumen
$183,697Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$183,697Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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