Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election drives trader positioning, with polls showing the Social Democrats-led centre-left opposition retaining a narrow edge over the incumbent Tidö coalition despite recent tightening. Magdalena Andersson’s party remains the largest by support, positioning her to lead government formation and return as prime minister after the 2022 defeat. Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates trail amid voter concerns over the economy, crime and energy, while Jimmie Åkesson’s Sweden Democrats continue as the right’s key parliamentary ally but lack coalition inclusion. Late-campaign shifts, including a narrowing of bloc leads in Indikator and Demoskop surveys, have sustained Andersson’s dominant implied probability while leaving room for coalition negotiations to determine final outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPróximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Magdalena Andersson 79%
Ulf Kristersson 22%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,690,422 Vol.
$4,690,422 Vol.
Magdalena Andersson
79%
Ulf Kristersson
22%
Jimmie Åkesson
<1%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 79%
Ulf Kristersson 22%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,690,422 Vol.
$4,690,422 Vol.
Magdalena Andersson
79%
Ulf Kristersson
22%
Jimmie Åkesson
<1%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election drives trader positioning, with polls showing the Social Democrats-led centre-left opposition retaining a narrow edge over the incumbent Tidö coalition despite recent tightening. Magdalena Andersson’s party remains the largest by support, positioning her to lead government formation and return as prime minister after the 2022 defeat. Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates trail amid voter concerns over the economy, crime and energy, while Jimmie Åkesson’s Sweden Democrats continue as the right’s key parliamentary ally but lack coalition inclusion. Late-campaign shifts, including a narrowing of bloc leads in Indikator and Demoskop surveys, have sustained Andersson’s dominant implied probability while leaving room for coalition negotiations to determine final outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes