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Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50%

Axel Kicillof 34%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Myriam Bregman 2.8%

Polymarket

$65,713 Vol.

Javier Milei 50%

Axel Kicillof 34%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Myriam Bregman 2.8%

Polymarket

$65,713 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$25,789 Vol.

50%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,477 Vol.

34%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 Vol.

5%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 Vol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,145 Vol.

3%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,444 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 Vol.

3%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 Vol.

1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Incumbent President Javier Milei holds a trader consensus lead at 49.5% for the October 2027 presidential election after announcing his re-election bid in late April 2026, bolstered by consistent national polls showing him ahead of challengers by double digits through early May. A fresh RDT consultores survey on May 11 indicated Milei edging Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof 38.2%-33.8% in a hypothetical runoff, positioning the Peronist leader as the primary opposition at 33.5% amid party reorganization. Economic strains have trimmed Milei's approval to around 33%, yet his legislative midterm gains and reform momentum outweigh fragmented rivals like Dante Gebel, with primaries potentially reshaping the field in this competitive race.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volumen
$65,713
Fecha de finalización
24 oct 2027
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Incumbent President Javier Milei holds a trader consensus lead at 49.5% for the October 2027 presidential election after announcing his re-election bid in late April 2026, bolstered by consistent national polls showing him ahead of challengers by double digits through early May. A fresh RDT consultores survey on May 11 indicated Milei edging Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof 38.2%-33.8% in a hypothetical runoff, positioning the Peronist leader as the primary opposition at 33.5% amid party reorganization. Economic strains have trimmed Milei's approval to around 33%, yet his legislative midterm gains and reform momentum outweigh fragmented rivals like Dante Gebel, with primaries potentially reshaping the field in this competitive race.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volumen
$65,713
Fecha de finalización
24 oct 2027
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Javier Milei" con 50%, seguido de "Axel Kicillof" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ha generado $65.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Argentina Presidential Election Winner", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" es "Javier Milei" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Axel Kicillof" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.