Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature United Russia defending its position through a managed electoral process that limits genuine opposition participation. Recent regional contests showed the party posting double-digit gains over 2021 benchmarks, driven by administrative mobilization and Kremlin directives emphasizing stability amid economic pressures such as rising food and utility costs. Dmitry Medvedev heads the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, while polls from VCIOM and FOM indicate support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent range. This setup leaves the precise seat total uncertain, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 340–354 band as the outcome most consistent with historical managed results and current momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
340–354 32%
355+ 20%
295–309 18.5%
325–339 17%
$24,534 Vol.
$24,534 Vol.
20 sep 2026
<280
8%
280–294
8%
295–309
19%
310–324
22%
325–339
17%
340–354
32%
355+
20%
340–354 32%
355+ 20%
295–309 18.5%
325–339 17%
$24,534 Vol.
$24,534 Vol.
20 sep 2026
<280
$6,278 Vol.
8%
280–294
$2,828 Vol.
8%
295–309
$1,601 Vol.
19%
310–324
$1,426 Vol.
22%
325–339
$1,963 Vol.
17%
340–354
$1,499 Vol.
32%
355+
$8,939 Vol.
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature United Russia defending its position through a managed electoral process that limits genuine opposition participation. Recent regional contests showed the party posting double-digit gains over 2021 benchmarks, driven by administrative mobilization and Kremlin directives emphasizing stability amid economic pressures such as rising food and utility costs. Dmitry Medvedev heads the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, while polls from VCIOM and FOM indicate support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent range. This setup leaves the precise seat total uncertain, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 340–354 band as the outcome most consistent with historical managed results and current momentum.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$24,534Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature United Russia defending its position through a managed electoral process that limits genuine opposition participation. Recent regional contests showed the party posting double-digit gains over 2021 benchmarks, driven by administrative mobilization and Kremlin directives emphasizing stability amid economic pressures such as rising food and utility costs. Dmitry Medvedev heads the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, while polls from VCIOM and FOM indicate support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent range. This setup leaves the precise seat total uncertain, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 340–354 band as the outcome most consistent with historical managed results and current momentum.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$24,534Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature United Russia defending its position through a managed electoral process that limits genuine opposition participation. Recent regional contests showed the party posting double-digit gains over 2021 benchmarks, driven by administrative mobilization and Kremlin directives emphasizing stability amid economic pressures such as rising food and utility costs. Dmitry Medvedev heads the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, while polls from VCIOM and FOM indicate support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent range. This setup leaves the precise seat total uncertain, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 340–354 band as the outcome most consistent with historical managed results and current momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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