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icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,122 Vol.

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,122 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$24,941 Vol.

42%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$13,517 Vol.

40%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,882 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Vol.

4%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,435 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$24,200 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$3,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,144 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The closely matched odds between John Thune and Chuck Schumer reflect uncertainty over which party will control the Senate after the November 2026 elections, where Republicans currently hold a narrow 53-45 edge and Democrats need a net gain of four seats. Thune, the incumbent Republican leader since early 2025, benefits from his party's structural map advantages in several open and competitive races, while Schumer's position as Democratic leader positions him to assume the role if his conference flips the chamber. Recent primaries, candidate retirements, and polling in battleground states have kept the overall outlook fluid without decisive momentum for either side. Developments such as shifts in national sentiment, fundraising gaps, or outcomes in high-profile contests like those in North Carolina or Maine could quickly tilt implied probabilities toward one leader or open paths for alternatives like Brian Schatz or Tom Cotton within their respective conferences.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$151,122
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The closely matched odds between John Thune and Chuck Schumer reflect uncertainty over which party will control the Senate after the November 2026 elections, where Republicans currently hold a narrow 53-45 edge and Democrats need a net gain of four seats. Thune, the incumbent Republican leader since early 2025, benefits from his party's structural map advantages in several open and competitive races, while Schumer's position as Democratic leader positions him to assume the role if his conference flips the chamber. Recent primaries, candidate retirements, and polling in battleground states have kept the overall outlook fluid without decisive momentum for either side. Developments such as shifts in national sentiment, fundraising gaps, or outcomes in high-profile contests like those in North Carolina or Maine could quickly tilt implied probabilities toward one leader or open paths for alternatives like Brian Schatz or Tom Cotton within their respective conferences.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$151,122
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 42%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $151.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "John Thune" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.