Both Georgia senators' staggered terms and current positioning underpin the 97% "No" consensus. Jon Ossoff faces voters in November 2026 after winning his Democratic primary unopposed and holding consistent polling leads over Republican nominee Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock's term runs through January 2029 with no reelection scheduled. Recent primary outcomes, stable polling averages, and absence of resignation signals or major controversies reinforce trader expectations that neither will depart before year-end. Late developments such as a health event, ethics issue, or unexpected general-election reversal for Ossoff remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
3% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
3% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia senators' staggered terms and current positioning underpin the 97% "No" consensus. Jon Ossoff faces voters in November 2026 after winning his Democratic primary unopposed and holding consistent polling leads over Republican nominee Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock's term runs through January 2029 with no reelection scheduled. Recent primary outcomes, stable polling averages, and absence of resignation signals or major controversies reinforce trader expectations that neither will depart before year-end. Late developments such as a health event, ethics issue, or unexpected general-election reversal for Ossoff remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volumen
$1,184Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia senators' staggered terms and current positioning underpin the 97% "No" consensus. Jon Ossoff faces voters in November 2026 after winning his Democratic primary unopposed and holding consistent polling leads over Republican nominee Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock's term runs through January 2029 with no reelection scheduled. Recent primary outcomes, stable polling averages, and absence of resignation signals or major controversies reinforce trader expectations that neither will depart before year-end. Late developments such as a health event, ethics issue, or unexpected general-election reversal for Ossoff remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volumen
$1,184Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Both Georgia senators' staggered terms and current positioning underpin the 97% "No" consensus. Jon Ossoff faces voters in November 2026 after winning his Democratic primary unopposed and holding consistent polling leads over Republican nominee Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock's term runs through January 2029 with no reelection scheduled. Recent primary outcomes, stable polling averages, and absence of resignation signals or major controversies reinforce trader expectations that neither will depart before year-end. Late developments such as a health event, ethics issue, or unexpected general-election reversal for Ossoff remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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