United Russia holds institutional advantages heading into the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections, including constituency redistricting completed in 2025, expanded electronic and multi-day voting across roughly half the regions, and the effective exclusion of genuine opposition candidates. These measures build on the party's dominant performance in 2025 regional legislative and gubernatorial contests, where it secured majorities or outright wins in nearly all cases. Trader consensus reflected in the 62% probability for sweeping every region accounts for these structural factors alongside localized uncertainties, such as security disruptions in Kursk and outcomes in newly configured districts within occupied Ukrainian territories. No major shifts in party leadership or electoral procedures have emerged in recent weeks to alter the baseline outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones en Rusia: ¿Rusia Unida gana todas las regiones?
Elecciones en Rusia: ¿Rusia Unida gana todas las regiones?
Sí
62% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
Sí
62% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds institutional advantages heading into the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections, including constituency redistricting completed in 2025, expanded electronic and multi-day voting across roughly half the regions, and the effective exclusion of genuine opposition candidates. These measures build on the party's dominant performance in 2025 regional legislative and gubernatorial contests, where it secured majorities or outright wins in nearly all cases. Trader consensus reflected in the 62% probability for sweeping every region accounts for these structural factors alongside localized uncertainties, such as security disruptions in Kursk and outcomes in newly configured districts within occupied Ukrainian territories. No major shifts in party leadership or electoral procedures have emerged in recent weeks to alter the baseline outlook.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volumen
$2,404Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds institutional advantages heading into the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections, including constituency redistricting completed in 2025, expanded electronic and multi-day voting across roughly half the regions, and the effective exclusion of genuine opposition candidates. These measures build on the party's dominant performance in 2025 regional legislative and gubernatorial contests, where it secured majorities or outright wins in nearly all cases. Trader consensus reflected in the 62% probability for sweeping every region accounts for these structural factors alongside localized uncertainties, such as security disruptions in Kursk and outcomes in newly configured districts within occupied Ukrainian territories. No major shifts in party leadership or electoral procedures have emerged in recent weeks to alter the baseline outlook.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$2,404Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia holds institutional advantages heading into the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections, including constituency redistricting completed in 2025, expanded electronic and multi-day voting across roughly half the regions, and the effective exclusion of genuine opposition candidates. These measures build on the party's dominant performance in 2025 regional legislative and gubernatorial contests, where it secured majorities or outright wins in nearly all cases. Trader consensus reflected in the 62% probability for sweeping every region accounts for these structural factors alongside localized uncertainties, such as security disruptions in Kursk and outcomes in newly configured districts within occupied Ukrainian territories. No major shifts in party leadership or electoral procedures have emerged in recent weeks to alter the baseline outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará Rusia Unida (ER) la mayoría de los escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
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Sí
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
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Sí
¿Ganará Rusia Unida entre 325 y 339 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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