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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

Byron Donalds 88%

James Fishback 10%

Jay Collins 2.6%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,527,341 Vol.

Byron Donalds 88%

James Fishback 10%

Jay Collins 2.6%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,527,341 Vol.

Byron Donalds

$116,894 Vol.

88%

James Fishback

$380,491 Vol.

10%

Jay Collins

$710,563 Vol.

3%

Casey DeSantis

$183,496 Vol.

<1%

Wilton Simpson

$55,804 Vol.

<1%

Matt Gaetz

$35,742 Vol.

<1%

Jimmy Patronis

$44,351 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds dominant trader consensus in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump's complete early endorsement, record Q1 fundraising exceeding $22 million, and consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls including Emerson College and Stetson University surveys showing him above 38 percent among likely voters. With the August 18 primary still three months away, challengers such as James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins trail far behind in both polling and financial resources, limiting their path to consolidation of support. Recent attacks from Collins on Donalds' voting record and disclosures have not shifted the implied probabilities, as the open-seat race following Governor Ron DeSantis's term limit favors the well-funded frontrunner with broad Republican backing. Late developments like additional endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence final positioning before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,527,341
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds dominant trader consensus in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump's complete early endorsement, record Q1 fundraising exceeding $22 million, and consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls including Emerson College and Stetson University surveys showing him above 38 percent among likely voters. With the August 18 primary still three months away, challengers such as James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins trail far behind in both polling and financial resources, limiting their path to consolidation of support. Recent attacks from Collins on Donalds' voting record and disclosures have not shifted the implied probabilities, as the open-seat race following Governor Ron DeSantis's term limit favors the well-funded frontrunner with broad Republican backing. Late developments like additional endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence final positioning before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,527,341
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Byron Donalds" con 88%, seguido de "James Fishback" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" ha generado $1.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es "Byron Donalds" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "James Fishback" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.