Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary, while Esti prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Scott’s prior margins above 60 percent, positions him for a clear majority. With only two major-party candidates on the ballot and no significant third-party challengers emerging, traders assign a 98.6 percent implied probability to an outright winner. A runoff would require vote splitting or an unforeseen late development that prevents any candidate from exceeding 50 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
99% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sí
99% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary, while Esti prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Scott’s prior margins above 60 percent, positions him for a clear majority. With only two major-party candidates on the ballot and no significant third-party challengers emerging, traders assign a 98.6 percent implied probability to an outright winner. A runoff would require vote splitting or an unforeseen late development that prevents any candidate from exceeding 50 percent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$1,326Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary, while Esti prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Scott’s prior margins above 60 percent, positions him for a clear majority. With only two major-party candidates on the ballot and no significant third-party challengers emerging, traders assign a 98.6 percent implied probability to an outright winner. A runoff would require vote splitting or an unforeseen late development that prevents any candidate from exceeding 50 percent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Volumen
$1,326Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Scott secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May primary, while Esti prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Scott’s prior margins above 60 percent, positions him for a clear majority. With only two major-party candidates on the ballot and no significant third-party challengers emerging, traders assign a 98.6 percent implied probability to an outright winner. A runoff would require vote splitting or an unforeseen late development that prevents any candidate from exceeding 50 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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