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Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 7.7%

Jim Jordan 6.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 7.7%

Jim Jordan 6.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,041 Vol.

78%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$96 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

2%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$113 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

3%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$124 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms drive Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% odds, reflecting polling averages and fundraising edges in competitive battlegrounds and redistricting environments. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority under Speaker Mike Johnson, yet face retirements, primary pressures, and vulnerability in swing districts that limit their retention chances. On the GOP side, Johnson holds a modest lead over Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise, though combined alternatives stay low amid party divisions. Recent Democratic primary results and leadership positioning have reinforced trader consensus on a likely majority shift, with Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trailing as potential Democratic alternatives should internal dynamics change before January 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,534
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms drive Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% odds, reflecting polling averages and fundraising edges in competitive battlegrounds and redistricting environments. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority under Speaker Mike Johnson, yet face retirements, primary pressures, and vulnerability in swing districts that limit their retention chances. On the GOP side, Johnson holds a modest lead over Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise, though combined alternatives stay low amid party divisions. Recent Democratic primary results and leadership positioning have reinforced trader consensus on a likely majority shift, with Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trailing as potential Democratic alternatives should internal dynamics change before January 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,534
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 78%, seguido de "Katherine Clark" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Speaker of the House after the midterms?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Katherine Clark" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.