Ben Butler holds the lead in trader consensus for the FL-09 Republican primary, reflecting his strong recent polling performance and endorsements from agricultural groups in a race reshaped by redistricting that favors GOP prospects against incumbent Darren Soto. A late July and early August Victory Insights poll showed Butler statistically tied near the top with Jorge Martinez and Thomas Chalifoux amid 41% undecided voters, though Chalifoux has raised substantially more funds. Dan Green trails but remains competitive within the margin of error. The August 18 primary features seven candidates emphasizing border security, inflation, and housing costs, with last-minute voter outreach and name ID gains likely to influence final positioning in this closely contested field.