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icon for FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Elecciones·Primaria Republicana

FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Elecciones·Primaria Republicana

FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Randy Fine 86%

Aaron Baker 8.0%

Dan Bilzerian 4.7%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$141,478 Vol.

Randy Fine 86%

Aaron Baker 8.0%

Dan Bilzerian 4.7%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$141,478 Vol.

Randy Fine

$14,672 Vol.

86%

Aaron Baker

$14,892 Vol.

8%

Dan Bilzerian

$46,319 Vol.

5%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$27,207 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Vasquez

$9,109 Vol.

<1%

Charles Gambaro

$10,760 Vol.

<1%

Ernest Audino

$18,519 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 85% trader consensus to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, driven by his dominant fundraising lead reported mid-April—far outpacing rivals—and proven incumbency after the 2025 special election victory following Michael Waltz's departure. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian, a social media influencer who filed in early April attacking Fine's pro-Israel positions, holds 3% amid niche online buzz but struggles as a Las Vegas resident in a district skewed toward older voters with low primary turnout. Local grassroots contender Aaron Baker at 8% gains from district residency, yet the fragmented field of over 20 candidates dilutes anti-Fine votes, underscoring Fine's structural edge absent major polls or endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$141,478
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 85% trader consensus to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, driven by his dominant fundraising lead reported mid-April—far outpacing rivals—and proven incumbency after the 2025 special election victory following Michael Waltz's departure. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian, a social media influencer who filed in early April attacking Fine's pro-Israel positions, holds 3% amid niche online buzz but struggles as a Las Vegas resident in a district skewed toward older voters with low primary turnout. Local grassroots contender Aaron Baker at 8% gains from district residency, yet the fragmented field of over 20 candidates dilutes anti-Fine votes, underscoring Fine's structural edge absent major polls or endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$141,478
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Randy Fine" con 86%, seguido de "Aaron Baker" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $141.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Randy Fine" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aaron Baker" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.