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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01

Anthony DiLorenzo 88%

Hollie Noveletsky 10%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$46,933 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 88%

Hollie Noveletsky 10%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$46,933 Vol.

icon for Anthony DiLorenzo

Anthony DiLorenzo

$4,682 Vol.

88%

icon for Hollie Noveletsky

Hollie Noveletsky

$24,475 Vol.

10%

icon for Melissa Bailey

Melissa Bailey

$1,641 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Cole

Brian Cole

$1,991 Vol.

1%

icon for Elizabeth Girard

Elizabeth Girard

$14,145 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary has driven the market's strong consensus around his 88% implied probability. The first-time candidate, a seacoast auto dealer and businessman, has used that backing plus additional Republican support to consolidate the field ahead of the September 8 primary. Hollie Noveletsky, the former state party vice chair emphasizing border security and tariffs, remains the clearest alternative at 9.5% but has not closed the gap despite earlier polling leads and attacks on DiLorenzo's record. Melissa Bailey's withdrawal and endorsement of DiLorenzo further narrowed the contest, leaving lower-support candidates such as Brian Cole and Elizabeth Girard with minimal trader interest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$46,933
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary has driven the market's strong consensus around his 88% implied probability. The first-time candidate, a seacoast auto dealer and businessman, has used that backing plus additional Republican support to consolidate the field ahead of the September 8 primary. Hollie Noveletsky, the former state party vice chair emphasizing border security and tariffs, remains the clearest alternative at 9.5% but has not closed the gap despite earlier polling leads and attacks on DiLorenzo's record. Melissa Bailey's withdrawal and endorsement of DiLorenzo further narrowed the contest, leaving lower-support candidates such as Brian Cole and Elizabeth Girard with minimal trader interest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$46,933
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Anthony DiLorenzo" con 88%, seguido de "Hollie Noveletsky" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" ha generado $46.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" es "Anthony DiLorenzo" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Hollie Noveletsky" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.