Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support between 19.2% and 20.4%, with the most recent Demoskop survey (late July to early August) at 20.2% and Novus (mid-July) at 20.4%. This positioning keeps SD as the second-largest party behind the Social Democrats while remaining well above the 4% threshold. The current right-wing Tidö government relies on SD confidence-and-supply backing for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates-led coalition. Polling aggregates show limited volatility for SD in recent months, with results clustered near or above 19% amid stable voter preferences on immigration and crime issues. Trader consensus on the “Over” outcome at 61.5% aligns with this polling range and the absence of major disruptive events in the past 30 days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOver
62% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Over
62% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support between 19.2% and 20.4%, with the most recent Demoskop survey (late July to early August) at 20.2% and Novus (mid-July) at 20.4%. This positioning keeps SD as the second-largest party behind the Social Democrats while remaining well above the 4% threshold. The current right-wing Tidö government relies on SD confidence-and-supply backing for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates-led coalition. Polling aggregates show limited volatility for SD in recent months, with results clustered near or above 19% amid stable voter preferences on immigration and crime issues. Trader consensus on the “Over” outcome at 61.5% aligns with this polling range and the absence of major disruptive events in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:37 AM ET
Volumen
$1,186Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support between 19.2% and 20.4%, with the most recent Demoskop survey (late July to early August) at 20.2% and Novus (mid-July) at 20.4%. This positioning keeps SD as the second-largest party behind the Social Democrats while remaining well above the 4% threshold. The current right-wing Tidö government relies on SD confidence-and-supply backing for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates-led coalition. Polling aggregates show limited volatility for SD in recent months, with results clustered near or above 19% amid stable voter preferences on immigration and crime issues. Trader consensus on the “Over” outcome at 61.5% aligns with this polling range and the absence of major disruptive events in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,186Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Sverigedemokraterna (SD) support between 19.2% and 20.4%, with the most recent Demoskop survey (late July to early August) at 20.2% and Novus (mid-July) at 20.4%. This positioning keeps SD as the second-largest party behind the Social Democrats while remaining well above the 4% threshold. The current right-wing Tidö government relies on SD confidence-and-supply backing for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates-led coalition. Polling aggregates show limited volatility for SD in recent months, with results clustered near or above 19% amid stable voter preferences on immigration and crime issues. Trader consensus on the “Over” outcome at 61.5% aligns with this polling range and the absence of major disruptive events in the past 30 days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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