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icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 83.5%

Douglas Ruas 16.5%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$477,884 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 83.5%

Douglas Ruas 16.5%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$477,884 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$79,702 Vol.

84%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$36,549 Vol.

17%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$29,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$19,734 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$29,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Busnello

Coronel Busnello

$21,008 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$18,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$3,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$17,339 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$19,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$15,600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$19,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$16,095 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$142,002 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around his high implied probability. Recent Datafolha, RealTime Big Data, and Prefab Future polls from September show him at 35–43% in the first round, well ahead of Douglas Ruas (PL) at 20–25% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) at 7–10%, with undecided and blank votes declining as free electoral propaganda began. Paes benefits from strong name recognition as a multiple-term former mayor, cross-party alliances including support from President Lula, and consistent advantages in runoff simulations. Garotinho’s candidacy was recently barred by the TRE-RJ over suspended political rights, while lower-polling names such as Colonel Busnello and William Siri (PSOL) remain marginal. Scheduled debates and ongoing campaign events through early October could still influence consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$477,884
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around his high implied probability. Recent Datafolha, RealTime Big Data, and Prefab Future polls from September show him at 35–43% in the first round, well ahead of Douglas Ruas (PL) at 20–25% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) at 7–10%, with undecided and blank votes declining as free electoral propaganda began. Paes benefits from strong name recognition as a multiple-term former mayor, cross-party alliances including support from President Lula, and consistent advantages in runoff simulations. Garotinho’s candidacy was recently barred by the TRE-RJ over suspended political rights, while lower-polling names such as Colonel Busnello and William Siri (PSOL) remain marginal. Scheduled debates and ongoing campaign events through early October could still influence consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$477,884
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Paes" con 84%, seguido de "Douglas Ruas" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" ha generado $477.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es "Eduardo Paes" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Douglas Ruas" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.