The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLula 91%
Edmilson Costa 26%
Escritor Augusto Cury 26%
Flavio Bolsonaro 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Lula
77%
Edmilson Costa
26%
Escritor Augusto Cury
26%
Flavio Bolsonaro
26%
Pablo Marçal
11%
Clariana Barao
26%
Hertz Dias
26%
Renan Santos
26%
Ronaldo Caiado
25%
Rui Costa Pimenta
26%
Samara
26%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
16%
Zema
26%
Lula 91%
Edmilson Costa 26%
Escritor Augusto Cury 26%
Flavio Bolsonaro 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Lula
$40 Vol.
77%
Edmilson Costa
$8 Vol.
26%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$8 Vol.
26%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$8 Vol.
26%
Pablo Marçal
$8 Vol.
11%
Clariana Barao
$8 Vol.
26%
Hertz Dias
$8 Vol.
26%
Renan Santos
$8 Vol.
26%
Ronaldo Caiado
$8 Vol.
25%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$8 Vol.
26%
Samara
$8 Vol.
26%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
$8 Vol.
16%
Zema
$8 Vol.
26%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Volumen
$136Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$136Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Renan Santos obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en São Paulo?
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¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraíba?
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¿Obtendrá Renan Santos la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en el Distrito Federal?
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Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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