Renan Santos holds the strongest trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his recent polling gains among younger and anti-establishment voters. The Mission Party nominee, a social-media-focused activist who positions himself to the right of the Bolsonaro family while criticizing both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, has climbed into the low-to-mid single digits in August surveys and frequently ties or edges Ronaldo Caiado. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, remains competitive but trails in several recent first-round samples after his late-July convention. Romeu Zema and others register lower support, leaving the Santos-Caiado contest for the final podium spot sensitive to debate performances and turnout patterns in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRenan Santos 55%
Ronaldo Caiado 37%
Romeu Zema 4.6%
Flávio Bolsonaro 3.8%
$544,583 Vol.
$544,583 Vol.
Renan Santos
55%
Ronaldo Caiado
37%
Romeu Zema
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 55%
Ronaldo Caiado 37%
Romeu Zema 4.6%
Flávio Bolsonaro 3.8%
$544,583 Vol.
$544,583 Vol.
Renan Santos
55%
Ronaldo Caiado
37%
Romeu Zema
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos holds the strongest trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his recent polling gains among younger and anti-establishment voters. The Mission Party nominee, a social-media-focused activist who positions himself to the right of the Bolsonaro family while criticizing both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, has climbed into the low-to-mid single digits in August surveys and frequently ties or edges Ronaldo Caiado. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, remains competitive but trails in several recent first-round samples after his late-July convention. Romeu Zema and others register lower support, leaving the Santos-Caiado contest for the final podium spot sensitive to debate performances and turnout patterns in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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