Recent polls from AtlasIntel and Quaest position Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial election, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the main challenger. Braide’s leads range from roughly 36-50% in first-round scenarios, reflecting his name recognition and local base, while Brandão benefits from ties to the current state administration. The race remains competitive due to a fragmented field that includes Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others, plus potential shifts in alliances ahead of the formal campaign start. Trader probabilities align with these polling trends, treating outcomes as fluid until voter mobilization and second-round dynamics clarify. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys and any coalition announcements that could consolidate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
45%
Orleans Brandão
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
11%
Felipe Camarão
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
6%
André Luís
4%
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
$544 Vol.
45%
Orleans Brandão
$69 Vol.
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
$68 Vol.
11%
Felipe Camarão
$64 Vol.
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 Vol.
6%
André Luís
$169 Vol.
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from AtlasIntel and Quaest position Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial election, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the main challenger. Braide’s leads range from roughly 36-50% in first-round scenarios, reflecting his name recognition and local base, while Brandão benefits from ties to the current state administration. The race remains competitive due to a fragmented field that includes Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others, plus potential shifts in alliances ahead of the formal campaign start. Trader probabilities align with these polling trends, treating outcomes as fluid until voter mobilization and second-round dynamics clarify. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys and any coalition announcements that could consolidate support.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from AtlasIntel and Quaest position Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial election, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the main challenger. Braide’s leads range from roughly 36-50% in first-round scenarios, reflecting his name recognition and local base, while Brandão benefits from ties to the current state administration. The race remains competitive due to a fragmented field that includes Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others, plus potential shifts in alliances ahead of the formal campaign start. Trader probabilities align with these polling trends, treating outcomes as fluid until voter mobilization and second-round dynamics clarify. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys and any coalition announcements that could consolidate support.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from AtlasIntel and Quaest position Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial election, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the main challenger. Braide’s leads range from roughly 36-50% in first-round scenarios, reflecting his name recognition and local base, while Brandão benefits from ties to the current state administration. The race remains competitive due to a fragmented field that includes Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others, plus potential shifts in alliances ahead of the formal campaign start. Trader probabilities align with these polling trends, treating outcomes as fluid until voter mobilization and second-round dynamics clarify. Key upcoming catalysts include additional surveys and any coalition announcements that could consolidate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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