Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation, leads the first-round contest scheduled for October 4 with recent polls showing 38–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) near 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) between 13–31%. His broad coalition, including PP, UNIÃO, PSB, and PT allies, combined with lower rejection rates and administrative visibility on health, education, and security proposals, underpins trader consensus. Opponent challenges, including a September legal filing alleging improper public hiring, have not shifted momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the race centered on whether Ribeiro secures an outright first-round majority or advances to a likely favorable runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,626 Vol.
$62,626 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
82%
Efraim Filho
10%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,626 Vol.
$62,626 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,657 Vol.
82%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 Vol.
10%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 Vol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$894 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$876 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,431 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation, leads the first-round contest scheduled for October 4 with recent polls showing 38–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) near 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) between 13–31%. His broad coalition, including PP, UNIÃO, PSB, and PT allies, combined with lower rejection rates and administrative visibility on health, education, and security proposals, underpins trader consensus. Opponent challenges, including a September legal filing alleging improper public hiring, have not shifted momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the race centered on whether Ribeiro secures an outright first-round majority or advances to a likely favorable runoff.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volumen
$62,626Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation, leads the first-round contest scheduled for October 4 with recent polls showing 38–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) near 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) between 13–31%. His broad coalition, including PP, UNIÃO, PSB, and PT allies, combined with lower rejection rates and administrative visibility on health, education, and security proposals, underpins trader consensus. Opponent challenges, including a September legal filing alleging improper public hiring, have not shifted momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the race centered on whether Ribeiro secures an outright first-round majority or advances to a likely favorable runoff.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$62,626Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation, leads the first-round contest scheduled for October 4 with recent polls showing 38–43% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) near 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) between 13–31%. His broad coalition, including PP, UNIÃO, PSB, and PT allies, combined with lower rejection rates and administrative visibility on health, education, and security proposals, underpins trader consensus. Opponent challenges, including a September legal filing alleging improper public hiring, have not shifted momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the race centered on whether Ribeiro secures an outright first-round majority or advances to a likely favorable runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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