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icon for ¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

icon for ¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

17% probabilidad
Polymarket

$87,593 Vol.

17% probabilidad
Polymarket

$87,593 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent internal STF conflicts and Senate impeachment petitions have not overcome the high procedural and political barriers to removal.** Allegations surfaced in early September 2026 linking Justice Alexandre de Moraes to banker Daniel Vorcaro of the failed Banco Master via messages and his wife’s law firm’s consulting contract. Justice André Mendonça disclosed related Federal Police material, prompting mutual accusations of misconduct, dozens of Senate petitions (over 55 against Moraes), and media calls for resignation or impeachment. The September 15 STF session on opening an investigation ended in deadlock and a postponement after Justice Flávio Dino requested more time, potentially delaying resolution up to 90 days—likely past the October presidential election. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has taken steps to contain the crisis, including reassigning certain probes. Moraes and allies on the court frame the moves as politically motivated retaliation tied to his prior rulings against Jair Bolsonaro and allies. Brazil’s Senate has never removed a sitting STF justice in the modern era, and removal requires assembling a supermajority amid a closely contested election cycle where the Lula government and court majorities retain influence. Traders price the “No” outcome at 83% because these institutional protections, procedural delays, and vote thresholds outweigh the current scandal’s momentum absent a decisive break in Senate support or court consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$87,593
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent internal STF conflicts and Senate impeachment petitions have not overcome the high procedural and political barriers to removal.** Allegations surfaced in early September 2026 linking Justice Alexandre de Moraes to banker Daniel Vorcaro of the failed Banco Master via messages and his wife’s law firm’s consulting contract. Justice André Mendonça disclosed related Federal Police material, prompting mutual accusations of misconduct, dozens of Senate petitions (over 55 against Moraes), and media calls for resignation or impeachment. The September 15 STF session on opening an investigation ended in deadlock and a postponement after Justice Flávio Dino requested more time, potentially delaying resolution up to 90 days—likely past the October presidential election. Chief Justice Edson Fachin has taken steps to contain the crisis, including reassigning certain probes. Moraes and allies on the court frame the moves as politically motivated retaliation tied to his prior rulings against Jair Bolsonaro and allies. Brazil’s Senate has never removed a sitting STF justice in the modern era, and removal requires assembling a supermajority amid a closely contested election cycle where the Lula government and court majorities retain influence. Traders price the “No” outcome at 83% because these institutional protections, procedural delays, and vote thresholds outweigh the current scandal’s momentum absent a decisive break in Senate support or court consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$87,593
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Alexandre de Moraes fuera como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" ha generado $87.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" es "¿Alexandre de Moraes fuera como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.