**Traders assign an 83% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because Senate impeachment petitions, while numerous, face steep procedural barriers and lack scheduling by the chamber’s leadership.** Dozens of requests have accumulated in recent weeks amid allegations tied to the Banco Master fraud investigation, including reported messages involving the justice and a large consulting contract held by his wife’s firm. However, no STF justice has ever been removed through Senate proceedings, which require a two-thirds majority. An internal court session on opening an investigation into Moraes was postponed until after the October presidential election, and Chief Justice Edson Fachin separately removed him from a long-running fake-news inquiry. These institutional checks and stalled processes underpin the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$87,593 Vol.
$87,593 Vol.
Sí
$87,593 Vol.
$87,593 Vol.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 83% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because Senate impeachment petitions, while numerous, face steep procedural barriers and lack scheduling by the chamber’s leadership.** Dozens of requests have accumulated in recent weeks amid allegations tied to the Banco Master fraud investigation, including reported messages involving the justice and a large consulting contract held by his wife’s firm. However, no STF justice has ever been removed through Senate proceedings, which require a two-thirds majority. An internal court session on opening an investigation into Moraes was postponed until after the October presidential election, and Chief Justice Edson Fachin separately removed him from a long-running fake-news inquiry. These institutional checks and stalled processes underpin the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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