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Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí

Lula 98.8%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lula 98.8%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$3,451 Vol.

99%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$356 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$353 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$352 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Piauí's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbent support stems from established regional voting patterns, party organization, and policy focus on social programs that have historically resonated there. National polling trends through mid-August 2026 show Lula ahead overall, with limited erosion in core areas despite a tightening race against right-leaning challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. The official campaign launch on August 16 has not yet produced shifts that alter this positioning. Realistic challenges include sharp changes in turnout among key demographics, late national developments that sway local sentiment, or an unexpectedly strong performance by a regional contender not currently prominent in surveys.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,156
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Piauí's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbent support stems from established regional voting patterns, party organization, and policy focus on social programs that have historically resonated there. National polling trends through mid-August 2026 show Lula ahead overall, with limited erosion in core areas despite a tightening race against right-leaning challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. The official campaign launch on August 16 has not yet produced shifts that alter this positioning. Realistic challenges include sharp changes in turnout among key demographics, late national developments that sway local sentiment, or an unexpectedly strong performance by a regional contender not currently prominent in surveys.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,156
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Relacionado

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¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraíba?

95%
Sí
icon for ¿Flavio Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en São Paulo?

¿Flavio Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en São Paulo?

89%
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icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

93%
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 99%, seguido de "Clariana Barao" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí" es "Lula" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Clariana Barao" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Piauí" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.