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Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais

Escritor Augusto Cury 44%

Flavio Bolsonaro 44%

Hertz Dias 44%

Lula 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Escritor Augusto Cury 44%

Flavio Bolsonaro 44%

Hertz Dias 44%

Lula 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

40%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Minas Gerais remains a pivotal swing state in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest, where a fragmented field of contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbent President Lula draws support from traditional PT bases while facing competition from right-leaning figures including former Minas governor Romeu Zema, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and emerging names such as Renan Santos and Pablo Marçal. Zema’s recent resignation from the state governorship to campaign nationally has sustained his regional profile, yet vote splitting on the right and Lula’s policy initiatives on debt relief and fuel prices maintain balance. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in conservative consolidation ahead of election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Minas Gerais remains a pivotal swing state in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest, where a fragmented field of contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbent President Lula draws support from traditional PT bases while facing competition from right-leaning figures including former Minas governor Romeu Zema, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and emerging names such as Renan Santos and Pablo Marçal. Zema’s recent resignation from the state governorship to campaign nationally has sustained his regional profile, yet vote splitting on the right and Lula’s policy initiatives on debt relief and fuel prices maintain balance. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in conservative consolidation ahead of election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Escritor Augusto Cury" con 44%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais" es "Escritor Augusto Cury" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Minas Gerais" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.