Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSergio Moro 84%
Sandro Alex 17%
Requião Filho 1.8%
Rafael Greca <1%
$188,858 Vol.
$188,858 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Sergio Moro
84%
Sandro Alex
17%
Requião Filho
2%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Alexandre Curi
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Sergio Moro 84%
Sandro Alex 17%
Requião Filho 1.8%
Rafael Greca <1%
$188,858 Vol.
$188,858 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Sergio Moro
$123,092 Vol.
84%
Sandro Alex
$19,068 Vol.
17%
Requião Filho
$22,988 Vol.
2%
Rafael Greca
$3,403 Vol.
<1%
Guto Silva
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Curi
$5,452 Vol.
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,625 Vol.
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 Vol.
<1%
Luiz França
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$188,858Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$188,858Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows Sergio Moro (PL) holding a clear lead in first-round vote intentions for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election, often in the mid-to-high 30s or above, with Sandro Alex (PSD) and Requião Filho (PDT) trailing. Moro’s position benefits from high name recognition, active campaigning including motorcades and electoral broadcasts, and an open race after term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) stepped aside. Traders price Sandro Alex as the main alternative at lower odds, reflecting his role as the governor’s preferred successor and stronger second-round matchup potential in some surveys. Other registered candidates remain marginal in both polls and market pricing, consistent with limited support shown in late-September data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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