Sergio Moro (PL) dominates the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race as the clear frontrunner, with recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and others showing him at 39-42% in first-round scenarios—roughly double his nearest rivals. The PL formally confirmed his candidacy at its state convention in early August 2026, launching a pure-party ticket that also backs Flávio Bolsonaro for Senate and secures backing from key right-wing figures after Moro’s split from incumbent Ratinho Júnior’s PSD machine. This consolidation, combined with a fragmented field featuring Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and lower-polling names such as Guto Silva and Beto Richa, underpins trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Moro. No major late shifts or scandals have altered the stable polling gap ahead of the October vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Paraná
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Paraná
Sergio Moro 86%
Alexandre Curi 4.3%
Enio Verri 2.8%
Rafael Greca 2.7%
$39,908 Vol.
$39,908 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Sergio Moro
86%
Alexandre Curi
4%
Enio Verri
3%
Rafael Greca
3%
Requião Filho
2%
Luiz França
1%
Guto Silva
1%
Beto Richa
1%
Sergio Moro 86%
Alexandre Curi 4.3%
Enio Verri 2.8%
Rafael Greca 2.7%
$39,908 Vol.
$39,908 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Sergio Moro
$32,190 Vol.
86%
Alexandre Curi
$452 Vol.
4%
Enio Verri
$309 Vol.
3%
Rafael Greca
$352 Vol.
3%
Requião Filho
$5,417 Vol.
2%
Luiz França
$172 Vol.
1%
Guto Silva
$647 Vol.
1%
Beto Richa
$371 Vol.
1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) dominates the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race as the clear frontrunner, with recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and others showing him at 39-42% in first-round scenarios—roughly double his nearest rivals. The PL formally confirmed his candidacy at its state convention in early August 2026, launching a pure-party ticket that also backs Flávio Bolsonaro for Senate and secures backing from key right-wing figures after Moro’s split from incumbent Ratinho Júnior’s PSD machine. This consolidation, combined with a fragmented field featuring Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and lower-polling names such as Guto Silva and Beto Richa, underpins trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Moro. No major late shifts or scandals have altered the stable polling gap ahead of the October vote.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$39,908Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) dominates the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race as the clear frontrunner, with recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and others showing him at 39-42% in first-round scenarios—roughly double his nearest rivals. The PL formally confirmed his candidacy at its state convention in early August 2026, launching a pure-party ticket that also backs Flávio Bolsonaro for Senate and secures backing from key right-wing figures after Moro’s split from incumbent Ratinho Júnior’s PSD machine. This consolidation, combined with a fragmented field featuring Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and lower-polling names such as Guto Silva and Beto Richa, underpins trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Moro. No major late shifts or scandals have altered the stable polling gap ahead of the October vote.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$39,908Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro (PL) dominates the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race as the clear frontrunner, with recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and others showing him at 39-42% in first-round scenarios—roughly double his nearest rivals. The PL formally confirmed his candidacy at its state convention in early August 2026, launching a pure-party ticket that also backs Flávio Bolsonaro for Senate and secures backing from key right-wing figures after Moro’s split from incumbent Ratinho Júnior’s PSD machine. This consolidation, combined with a fragmented field featuring Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and lower-polling names such as Guto Silva and Beto Richa, underpins trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Moro. No major late shifts or scandals have altered the stable polling gap ahead of the October vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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