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Elecciones·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Elecciones·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 64.9%

Alexandre Kalil 9.4%

Mateus Simões 8.0%

Patrus Ananias 5.8%

Polymarket

$335,169 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo 64.9%

Alexandre Kalil 9.4%

Mateus Simões 8.0%

Patrus Ananias 5.8%

Polymarket

$335,169 Vol.

icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$146,288 Vol.

65%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$36,662 Vol.

9%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$31,712 Vol.

8%

icon for Patrus Ananias

Patrus Ananias

$8,854 Vol.

6%

icon for Flávio Roscoe

Flávio Roscoe

$9,651 Vol.

5%

icon for Luís Eduardo Falcão

Luís Eduardo Falcão

$7,222 Vol.

2%

icon for Benoni Mendes

Benoni Mendes

$6,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$7,957 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$21,535 Vol.

1%

icon for Euclydes Pettersen

Euclydes Pettersen

$4,924 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$19,590 Vol.

1%

icon for Gleidson Azevedo

Gleidson Azevedo

$4,240 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$8,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$4,934 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vittorio Medioli

Vittorio Medioli

$5,043 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$5,958 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$5,265 Vol.

<1%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the strongest trader consensus for the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 64.8% implied probability, driven by his repeated first-place finishes in pre-withdrawal polling from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and AtlasIntel, where he often exceeded 35% and dominated hypothetical runoffs against rivals including Alexandre Kalil and Patrus Ananias. His appeal among conservative and bolsonarista voters, combined with name recognition from his Senate tenure and Republicanos affiliation, sustained this positioning even after the party’s early August announcement that he would not contest the governorship. The fragmented field—featuring Kalil (PDT), Mateus Simões (PSD), and others below 10%—reflects the absence of a clear alternative frontrunner in post-withdrawal surveys, leaving market pricing anchored to his earlier polling dominance until clearer signals emerge closer to the October vote.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$335,169
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the strongest trader consensus for the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 64.8% implied probability, driven by his repeated first-place finishes in pre-withdrawal polling from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and AtlasIntel, where he often exceeded 35% and dominated hypothetical runoffs against rivals including Alexandre Kalil and Patrus Ananias. His appeal among conservative and bolsonarista voters, combined with name recognition from his Senate tenure and Republicanos affiliation, sustained this positioning even after the party’s early August announcement that he would not contest the governorship. The fragmented field—featuring Kalil (PDT), Mateus Simões (PSD), and others below 10%—reflects the absence of a clear alternative frontrunner in post-withdrawal surveys, leaving market pricing anchored to his earlier polling dominance until clearer signals emerge closer to the October vote.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$335,169
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cleitinho Azevedo" con 65%, seguido de "Alexandre Kalil" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" ha generado $335.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" es "Cleitinho Azevedo" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandre Kalil" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.