Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice governor, holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling averages showing him ahead in first-round scenarios and early endorsements from center-right coalitions. A crowded field of challengers, including Lorenzo Pazolini and several others polling in single digits, keeps the race fragmented with no dominant alternative emerging. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names, as traders weigh Ferraço’s incumbency advantages and cross-party appeal against risks from late alliances, primary dynamics, or shifts in voter turnout in key municipalities. Upcoming surveys and coalition negotiations through mid-2026 remain the primary catalysts that could widen or close gaps ahead of the first-round ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Sergio Vidigal 8.1%
Arnaldinho Borgo 7.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Sergio Vidigal
8%
Arnaldinho Borgo
8%
Euclério Sampaio
6%
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Sergio Vidigal 8.1%
Arnaldinho Borgo 7.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$60 Vol.
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$120 Vol.
29%
Sergio Vidigal
$37 Vol.
8%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$141 Vol.
8%
Euclério Sampaio
$150 Vol.
6%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice governor, holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling averages showing him ahead in first-round scenarios and early endorsements from center-right coalitions. A crowded field of challengers, including Lorenzo Pazolini and several others polling in single digits, keeps the race fragmented with no dominant alternative emerging. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names, as traders weigh Ferraço’s incumbency advantages and cross-party appeal against risks from late alliances, primary dynamics, or shifts in voter turnout in key municipalities. Upcoming surveys and coalition negotiations through mid-2026 remain the primary catalysts that could widen or close gaps ahead of the first-round ballot.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$508Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice governor, holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling averages showing him ahead in first-round scenarios and early endorsements from center-right coalitions. A crowded field of challengers, including Lorenzo Pazolini and several others polling in single digits, keeps the race fragmented with no dominant alternative emerging. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names, as traders weigh Ferraço’s incumbency advantages and cross-party appeal against risks from late alliances, primary dynamics, or shifts in voter turnout in key municipalities. Upcoming surveys and coalition negotiations through mid-2026 remain the primary catalysts that could widen or close gaps ahead of the first-round ballot.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$508Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice governor, holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling averages showing him ahead in first-round scenarios and early endorsements from center-right coalitions. A crowded field of challengers, including Lorenzo Pazolini and several others polling in single digits, keeps the race fragmented with no dominant alternative emerging. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names, as traders weigh Ferraço’s incumbency advantages and cross-party appeal against risks from late alliances, primary dynamics, or shifts in voter turnout in key municipalities. Upcoming surveys and coalition negotiations through mid-2026 remain the primary catalysts that could widen or close gaps ahead of the first-round ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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