United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tambov Oblast Duma election market at 99.5% implied probability, consistent with its long-standing dominance in the region and the broader Russian electoral system. The vote, set for September 18–20 alongside national parliamentary elections, features a mixed system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Incumbent advantages, including strong organizational capacity and alignment with federal priorities, have historically translated into large seat majorities. Limited registered opposition parties face structural barriers to meaningful gains. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected turnout swings, administrative changes, or late legal rulings, though such developments remain low-probability in the final days before polling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUnited Russia 99.4%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
$12,387 Vol.
$12,387 Vol.
20 sep 2026
United Russia
99%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
Rodina
<1%
United Russia 99.4%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
$12,387 Vol.
$12,387 Vol.
20 sep 2026
United Russia
$8,829 Vol.
99%
LDPR
$735 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$655 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$678 Vol.
<1%
New People
$735 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$755 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tambov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tambov Oblast Duma election market at 99.5% implied probability, consistent with its long-standing dominance in the region and the broader Russian electoral system. The vote, set for September 18–20 alongside national parliamentary elections, features a mixed system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Incumbent advantages, including strong organizational capacity and alignment with federal priorities, have historically translated into large seat majorities. Limited registered opposition parties face structural barriers to meaningful gains. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected turnout swings, administrative changes, or late legal rulings, though such developments remain low-probability in the final days before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tambov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volumen
$12,387Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tambov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tambov Oblast Duma election market at 99.5% implied probability, consistent with its long-standing dominance in the region and the broader Russian electoral system. The vote, set for September 18–20 alongside national parliamentary elections, features a mixed system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Incumbent advantages, including strong organizational capacity and alignment with federal priorities, have historically translated into large seat majorities. Limited registered opposition parties face structural barriers to meaningful gains. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected turnout swings, administrative changes, or late legal rulings, though such developments remain low-probability in the final days before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tambov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tambov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tambov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tambov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tambov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volumen
$12,387Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tambov Oblast Duma election market at 99.5% implied probability, consistent with its long-standing dominance in the region and the broader Russian electoral system. The vote, set for September 18–20 alongside national parliamentary elections, features a mixed system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Incumbent advantages, including strong organizational capacity and alignment with federal priorities, have historically translated into large seat majorities. Limited registered opposition parties face structural barriers to meaningful gains. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected turnout swings, administrative changes, or late legal rulings, though such developments remain low-probability in the final days before polling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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