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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria

icon for Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria

Iliana Iotova 60%

Vassil Terziev 14.5%

Nikolai Denkov 12%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%

Polymarket

$100,458 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 60%

Vassil Terziev 14.5%

Nikolai Denkov 12%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%

Polymarket

$100,458 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$43,607 Vol.

60%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$3,621 Vol.

14%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$9,966 Vol.

12%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$20,030 Vol.

5%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$3,628 Vol.

4%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$5,650 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$2,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$1,814 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$1,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$1,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$1,926 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$2,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, driven by Progressive Bulgaria's landslide victory in the April 19 snap parliamentary elections—securing a rare single-party majority at around 44%—and former President Rumen Radev's successful cabinet formation after receiving President Iotova's exploratory mandate on May 7. As Radev's former vice president and BSP-backed continuity candidate eligible for a full term, she benefits from incumbency advantages and momentum from their camp's dominance amid ongoing political instability. Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev, both linked to the underperforming We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria alliance (12.6% in parliamentary vote), trail at 12% and 11.9%, respectively, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov lags further at 4.5%, reflecting weaker party standings ahead of the likely two-round contest.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$100,458
Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, driven by Progressive Bulgaria's landslide victory in the April 19 snap parliamentary elections—securing a rare single-party majority at around 44%—and former President Rumen Radev's successful cabinet formation after receiving President Iotova's exploratory mandate on May 7. As Radev's former vice president and BSP-backed continuity candidate eligible for a full term, she benefits from incumbency advantages and momentum from their camp's dominance amid ongoing political instability. Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev, both linked to the underperforming We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria alliance (12.6% in parliamentary vote), trail at 12% and 11.9%, respectively, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov lags further at 4.5%, reflecting weaker party standings ahead of the likely two-round contest.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$100,458
Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Iliana Iotova" con 60%, seguido de "Vassil Terziev" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" ha generado $100.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" es "Iliana Iotova" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vassil Terziev" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.