United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, and extensive administrative resources despite recent polling declines to the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. New People's surge to second place in several state-linked surveys, driven by appeal to younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions and economic conditions, has lifted its implied probability but remains well short of overtaking the ruling party for the plurality of seats. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF show stable but limited support with little momentum to challenge the frontrunners ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 62%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 28.7%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 4.0%
$8,186,119 Vol.
$8,186,119 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
62%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
29%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
4%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 62%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 28.7%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 4.0%
$8,186,119 Vol.
$8,186,119 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$2,130,436 Vol.
62%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$1,046,276 Vol.
29%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$2,273,058 Vol.
5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$654,893 Vol.
4%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$571,250 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$930,404 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$579,804 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, and extensive administrative resources despite recent polling declines to the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. New People's surge to second place in several state-linked surveys, driven by appeal to younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions and economic conditions, has lifted its implied probability but remains well short of overtaking the ruling party for the plurality of seats. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF show stable but limited support with little momentum to challenge the frontrunners ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$8,186,119Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, and extensive administrative resources despite recent polling declines to the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. New People's surge to second place in several state-linked surveys, driven by appeal to younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions and economic conditions, has lifted its implied probability but remains well short of overtaking the ruling party for the plurality of seats. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF show stable but limited support with little momentum to challenge the frontrunners ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,186,119Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, and extensive administrative resources despite recent polling declines to the mid-20s to low-30s percent range. New People's surge to second place in several state-linked surveys, driven by appeal to younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions and economic conditions, has lifted its implied probability but remains well short of overtaking the ruling party for the plurality of seats. Other parties including LDPR and KPRF show stable but limited support with little momentum to challenge the frontrunners ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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