Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections explain the tight contest among systemic opposition groups for third place behind United Russia. New People has shown volatility in surveys from VCIOM and FOM, occasionally leading or trailing LDPR and KPRF due to media support and appeals to moderate voters, yet it lacks the established regional networks of the older parties. LDPR maintains steady backing through its organizational reach and consistent campaign presence, while KPRF draws from its traditional base amid limited recent growth. Kremlin-managed preparations, including candidate selection and media dynamics, influence visibility without altering core vote thresholds. Separation among these contenders could emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns in single-member districts, or shifts in how undecided voters align with the five-percent barrier.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,483 Vol.
$55,483 Vol.
20 sep 2026
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%
New People (NL)
42%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,483 Vol.
$55,483 Vol.
20 sep 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,480 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9,033 Vol.
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$2,734 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,117 Vol.
33%
New People (NL)
$9,527 Vol.
42%
Rodina
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$9,249 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections explain the tight contest among systemic opposition groups for third place behind United Russia. New People has shown volatility in surveys from VCIOM and FOM, occasionally leading or trailing LDPR and KPRF due to media support and appeals to moderate voters, yet it lacks the established regional networks of the older parties. LDPR maintains steady backing through its organizational reach and consistent campaign presence, while KPRF draws from its traditional base amid limited recent growth. Kremlin-managed preparations, including candidate selection and media dynamics, influence visibility without altering core vote thresholds. Separation among these contenders could emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns in single-member districts, or shifts in how undecided voters align with the five-percent barrier.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volumen
$55,483Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections explain the tight contest among systemic opposition groups for third place behind United Russia. New People has shown volatility in surveys from VCIOM and FOM, occasionally leading or trailing LDPR and KPRF due to media support and appeals to moderate voters, yet it lacks the established regional networks of the older parties. LDPR maintains steady backing through its organizational reach and consistent campaign presence, while KPRF draws from its traditional base amid limited recent growth. Kremlin-managed preparations, including candidate selection and media dynamics, influence visibility without altering core vote thresholds. Separation among these contenders could emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns in single-member districts, or shifts in how undecided voters align with the five-percent barrier.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$55,483Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends and party positioning ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections explain the tight contest among systemic opposition groups for third place behind United Russia. New People has shown volatility in surveys from VCIOM and FOM, occasionally leading or trailing LDPR and KPRF due to media support and appeals to moderate voters, yet it lacks the established regional networks of the older parties. LDPR maintains steady backing through its organizational reach and consistent campaign presence, while KPRF draws from its traditional base amid limited recent growth. Kremlin-managed preparations, including candidate selection and media dynamics, influence visibility without altering core vote thresholds. Separation among these contenders could emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns in single-member districts, or shifts in how undecided voters align with the five-percent barrier.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
¿Ganará Rusia Unida (ER) la mayoría de los escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
98%
Sí
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
73%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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