California voters will decide Proposition 40, a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires' net worth (excluding real estate, pensions, and retirement accounts) for healthcare, education, and food assistance funding, on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects several factors: Governor Gavin Newsom's opposition, a competing Proposition 42 that would prohibit personal property taxes and nullify the measure if it receives more votes, expected constitutional challenges to its residency rules and retroactive elements, and polling showing narrow or inconsistent support (often 48-57% yes among likely voters with strong partisan splits). Recent Democratic Party endorsement occurred amid internal divisions, while concerns over long-term revenue effects and resident migration continue to weigh on assessments of passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
28% probabilidad
$3,665,722 Vol.
$3,665,722 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sí
28% probabilidad
$3,665,722 Vol.
$3,665,722 Vol.
3 nov 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California voters will decide Proposition 40, a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires' net worth (excluding real estate, pensions, and retirement accounts) for healthcare, education, and food assistance funding, on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects several factors: Governor Gavin Newsom's opposition, a competing Proposition 42 that would prohibit personal property taxes and nullify the measure if it receives more votes, expected constitutional challenges to its residency rules and retroactive elements, and polling showing narrow or inconsistent support (often 48-57% yes among likely voters with strong partisan splits). Recent Democratic Party endorsement occurred amid internal divisions, while concerns over long-term revenue effects and resident migration continue to weigh on assessments of passage.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volumen
$3,665,722Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California voters will decide Proposition 40, a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires' net worth (excluding real estate, pensions, and retirement accounts) for healthcare, education, and food assistance funding, on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects several factors: Governor Gavin Newsom's opposition, a competing Proposition 42 that would prohibit personal property taxes and nullify the measure if it receives more votes, expected constitutional challenges to its residency rules and retroactive elements, and polling showing narrow or inconsistent support (often 48-57% yes among likely voters with strong partisan splits). Recent Democratic Party endorsement occurred amid internal divisions, while concerns over long-term revenue effects and resident migration continue to weigh on assessments of passage.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,665,722Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide Proposition 40, a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires' net worth (excluding real estate, pensions, and retirement accounts) for healthcare, education, and food assistance funding, on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects several factors: Governor Gavin Newsom's opposition, a competing Proposition 42 that would prohibit personal property taxes and nullify the measure if it receives more votes, expected constitutional challenges to its residency rules and retroactive elements, and polling showing narrow or inconsistent support (often 48-57% yes among likely voters with strong partisan splits). Recent Democratic Party endorsement occurred amid internal divisions, while concerns over long-term revenue effects and resident migration continue to weigh on assessments of passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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