Recent polling consistently positions Iván Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro, as the clear first-round leader with support near 40 percent, while the right-wing vote remains divided between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella maintains a modest edge over Valencia in most surveys, reflecting his stronger performance among core conservative voters despite Valencia’s gains following her March primary victory and alliance with former mayor Juan Daniel Oviedo. With the May 31 first round less than three weeks away, this split makes a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff the leading scenario in trader assessments. Valencia’s upward trajectory has narrowed the gap but has not yet displaced de la Espriella from second place in the latest weighted averages, leaving the outright-winner outcome a distant possibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 19%
1st Round Outright Winner 13%
Other 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
19%
1st Round Outright Winner
13%
Other
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 19%
1st Round Outright Winner 13%
Other 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$154 Vol.
69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$463 Vol.
19%
1st Round Outright Winner
$166 Vol.
13%
Other
$39 Vol.
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$341 Vol.
3%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently positions Iván Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro, as the clear first-round leader with support near 40 percent, while the right-wing vote remains divided between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella maintains a modest edge over Valencia in most surveys, reflecting his stronger performance among core conservative voters despite Valencia’s gains following her March primary victory and alliance with former mayor Juan Daniel Oviedo. With the May 31 first round less than three weeks away, this split makes a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff the leading scenario in trader assessments. Valencia’s upward trajectory has narrowed the gap but has not yet displaced de la Espriella from second place in the latest weighted averages, leaving the outright-winner outcome a distant possibility.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$1,162Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently positions Iván Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro, as the clear first-round leader with support near 40 percent, while the right-wing vote remains divided between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella maintains a modest edge over Valencia in most surveys, reflecting his stronger performance among core conservative voters despite Valencia’s gains following her March primary victory and alliance with former mayor Juan Daniel Oviedo. With the May 31 first round less than three weeks away, this split makes a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff the leading scenario in trader assessments. Valencia’s upward trajectory has narrowed the gap but has not yet displaced de la Espriella from second place in the latest weighted averages, leaving the outright-winner outcome a distant possibility.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$1,162Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently positions Iván Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro, as the clear first-round leader with support near 40 percent, while the right-wing vote remains divided between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella maintains a modest edge over Valencia in most surveys, reflecting his stronger performance among core conservative voters despite Valencia’s gains following her March primary victory and alliance with former mayor Juan Daniel Oviedo. With the May 31 first round less than three weeks away, this split makes a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff the leading scenario in trader assessments. Valencia’s upward trajectory has narrowed the gap but has not yet displaced de la Espriella from second place in the latest weighted averages, leaving the outright-winner outcome a distant possibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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