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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?

icon for ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?

Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.7%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,916,889 Vol.

Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.7%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,916,889 Vol.

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$517,938 Vol.

85%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,025,157 Vol.

15%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$570,589 Vol.

1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$300,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$283,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,353 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro leads the first-round contest as the Historic Pact nominee continuing President Petro’s left-wing agenda, with recent Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys placing him at 37–44% amid consolidated support from younger voters and regional strongholds. The right-wing vote remains fragmented between Abelardo de la Espriella’s insurgent platform and Paloma Valencia’s institutional center-right candidacy, preventing either from mounting a serious challenge for the May 31 first-round victory. Trader pricing reflects this polling gap and the absence of major late shifts, though armed-group intimidation reports and upcoming debates could still influence turnout in key departments before the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$5,916,889
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro leads the first-round contest as the Historic Pact nominee continuing President Petro’s left-wing agenda, with recent Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys placing him at 37–44% amid consolidated support from younger voters and regional strongholds. The right-wing vote remains fragmented between Abelardo de la Espriella’s insurgent platform and Paloma Valencia’s institutional center-right candidacy, preventing either from mounting a serious challenge for the May 31 first-round victory. Trader pricing reflects this polling gap and the absence of major late shifts, though armed-group intimidation reports and upcoming debates could still influence turnout in key departments before the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$5,916,889
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

" ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 85%, seguido de "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, " ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?" ha generado $5.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en " ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para " ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?" es "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 15%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para " ¿Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.