Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
$13,473 Vol.
$13,473 Vol.
30 abr 2027
Ron Nirenberg
96%
Patrick Von Dohlen
3%
$13,473 Vol.
$13,473 Vol.
30 abr 2027
Ron Nirenberg
$9,259 Vol.
96%
Patrick Von Dohlen
$4,214 Vol.
3%
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
Mercado abierto: Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volumen
$13,473Fecha de finalización
1 may 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
Volumen
$13,473Fecha de finalización
1 may 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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