Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 54-57% turnout in Colombia’s May 31 first round, reflecting historical patterns where presidential participation has averaged around 55% in recent cycles while the March legislative contests recorded abstention above 50%. A polarized three-way race featuring Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has yet to generate the mobilization surge seen in 2022, keeping expectations moderate. Low early enthusiasm, combined with over 41 million registered voters and the likelihood of a June 21 runoff, supports the current positioning of the 54-57% band ahead of higher or lower ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
21%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
39%
57-60%
13%
60%+
24%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
21%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
23%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
39%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$489 Vol.
24%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 54-57% turnout in Colombia’s May 31 first round, reflecting historical patterns where presidential participation has averaged around 55% in recent cycles while the March legislative contests recorded abstention above 50%. A polarized three-way race featuring Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has yet to generate the mobilization surge seen in 2022, keeping expectations moderate. Low early enthusiasm, combined with over 41 million registered voters and the likelihood of a June 21 runoff, supports the current positioning of the 54-57% band ahead of higher or lower ranges.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 54-57% turnout in Colombia’s May 31 first round, reflecting historical patterns where presidential participation has averaged around 55% in recent cycles while the March legislative contests recorded abstention above 50%. A polarized three-way race featuring Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has yet to generate the mobilization surge seen in 2022, keeping expectations moderate. Low early enthusiasm, combined with over 41 million registered voters and the likelihood of a June 21 runoff, supports the current positioning of the 54-57% band ahead of higher or lower ranges.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 54-57% turnout in Colombia’s May 31 first round, reflecting historical patterns where presidential participation has averaged around 55% in recent cycles while the March legislative contests recorded abstention above 50%. A polarized three-way race featuring Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has yet to generate the mobilization surge seen in 2022, keeping expectations moderate. Low early enthusiasm, combined with over 41 million registered voters and the likelihood of a June 21 runoff, supports the current positioning of the 54-57% band ahead of higher or lower ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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