Recent opinion polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a steady lead of 8–14 points over the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD), with AfD support holding between 35% and 39% and SPD between 23% and 27% in surveys from January through mid-February 2026. This positioning four months before the September 20 election reflects sustained voter trends in the eastern state, where AfD has consolidated support amid ongoing regional political dynamics. The SPD, which has governed the state for decades under Premier Manuela Schwesig, trails despite modest recent gains in some surveys, while smaller parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW remain well below levels needed to challenge for the top spot. Traders have priced AfD as the overwhelming favorite to finish first, consistent with the pattern in comparable eastern state contests where early polling leads have held through election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
AfD 84%
SPD 15%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 Vol.
$220,303 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
84%
SPD
15%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 15%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 Vol.
$220,303 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
$8,307 Vol.
84%
SPD
$37,071 Vol.
15%
FDP
$50,818 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$28,594 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$53,394 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$12,545 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$9,060 Vol.
<1%
FW
$20,514 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a steady lead of 8–14 points over the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD), with AfD support holding between 35% and 39% and SPD between 23% and 27% in surveys from January through mid-February 2026. This positioning four months before the September 20 election reflects sustained voter trends in the eastern state, where AfD has consolidated support amid ongoing regional political dynamics. The SPD, which has governed the state for decades under Premier Manuela Schwesig, trails despite modest recent gains in some surveys, while smaller parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW remain well below levels needed to challenge for the top spot. Traders have priced AfD as the overwhelming favorite to finish first, consistent with the pattern in comparable eastern state contests where early polling leads have held through election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$220,303Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a steady lead of 8–14 points over the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD), with AfD support holding between 35% and 39% and SPD between 23% and 27% in surveys from January through mid-February 2026. This positioning four months before the September 20 election reflects sustained voter trends in the eastern state, where AfD has consolidated support amid ongoing regional political dynamics. The SPD, which has governed the state for decades under Premier Manuela Schwesig, trails despite modest recent gains in some surveys, while smaller parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW remain well below levels needed to challenge for the top spot. Traders have priced AfD as the overwhelming favorite to finish first, consistent with the pattern in comparable eastern state contests where early polling leads have held through election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$220,303Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a steady lead of 8–14 points over the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD), with AfD support holding between 35% and 39% and SPD between 23% and 27% in surveys from January through mid-February 2026. This positioning four months before the September 20 election reflects sustained voter trends in the eastern state, where AfD has consolidated support amid ongoing regional political dynamics. The SPD, which has governed the state for decades under Premier Manuela Schwesig, trails despite modest recent gains in some surveys, while smaller parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW remain well below levels needed to challenge for the top spot. Traders have priced AfD as the overwhelming favorite to finish first, consistent with the pattern in comparable eastern state contests where early polling leads have held through election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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