Jorginho Mello, the incumbent Liberal Party governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in recent polling with 49-66% first-round support, reflecting strong voter consolidation behind his record on infrastructure, health expansions, and economic policies. His recent campaign events, including commitments to business groups like Fiesc and Facisc against tax increases, align with Santa Catarina's conservative electorate and PL's organizational strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition candidates, including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB), trail significantly with no combined threat exceeding Mello's margin. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Mello mirrors these trends, though a late surge by rivals or turnout shifts could theoretically force a runoff on October 25 if Mello falls short of 50% of valid votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJorginho Mello 97.6%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$125,161 Vol.
$125,161 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jorginho Mello
98%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
2%
João Rodrigues
1%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Jorginho Mello 97.6%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$125,161 Vol.
$125,161 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jorginho Mello
$31,111 Vol.
98%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$16,041 Vol.
2%
João Rodrigues
$3,040 Vol.
1%
Gelson Merisio
$3,128 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$64,425 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,765 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$2,478 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent Liberal Party governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in recent polling with 49-66% first-round support, reflecting strong voter consolidation behind his record on infrastructure, health expansions, and economic policies. His recent campaign events, including commitments to business groups like Fiesc and Facisc against tax increases, align with Santa Catarina's conservative electorate and PL's organizational strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition candidates, including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB), trail significantly with no combined threat exceeding Mello's margin. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Mello mirrors these trends, though a late surge by rivals or turnout shifts could theoretically force a runoff on October 25 if Mello falls short of 50% of valid votes.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$125,161Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent Liberal Party governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in recent polling with 49-66% first-round support, reflecting strong voter consolidation behind his record on infrastructure, health expansions, and economic policies. His recent campaign events, including commitments to business groups like Fiesc and Facisc against tax increases, align with Santa Catarina's conservative electorate and PL's organizational strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition candidates, including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB), trail significantly with no combined threat exceeding Mello's margin. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Mello mirrors these trends, though a late surge by rivals or turnout shifts could theoretically force a runoff on October 25 if Mello falls short of 50% of valid votes.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$125,161Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent Liberal Party governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding lead in recent polling with 49-66% first-round support, reflecting strong voter consolidation behind his record on infrastructure, health expansions, and economic policies. His recent campaign events, including commitments to business groups like Fiesc and Facisc against tax increases, align with Santa Catarina's conservative electorate and PL's organizational strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition candidates, including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB), trail significantly with no combined threat exceeding Mello's margin. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Mello mirrors these trends, though a late surge by rivals or turnout shifts could theoretically force a runoff on October 25 if Mello falls short of 50% of valid votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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