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icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$31,111 Vol.

98%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$16,041 Vol.

2%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$3,040 Vol.

1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$3,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$2,478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$2,175 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor from the Liberal Party running for reelection, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing. Recent September polls show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, far ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15-24% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 4-17%, with other candidates in low single digits. His position stems from strong incumbency performance, consistent polling leads since mid-2025, formal party nomination in August with a Novo running mate, and recent campaign outreach to business, industry, and agricultural groups where he pledged no tax increases and highlighted infrastructure and health investments. A first-round victory appears the most likely path based on current data. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in undecided voters, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$125,161
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor from the Liberal Party running for reelection, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing. Recent September polls show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, far ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15-24% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 4-17%, with other candidates in low single digits. His position stems from strong incumbency performance, consistent polling leads since mid-2025, formal party nomination in August with a Novo running mate, and recent campaign outreach to business, industry, and agricultural groups where he pledged no tax increases and highlighted infrastructure and health investments. A first-round victory appears the most likely path based on current data. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in undecided voters, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$125,161
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jorginho Mello" con 98%, seguido de "Marcelo Brigadeiro" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina" ha generado $125.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina" es "Jorginho Mello" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marcelo Brigadeiro" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Catarina" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.