In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAcácio Favacho 44%
Alliny Serrão 44%
Capi 44%
Helio Silva 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Acácio Favacho
44%
Alliny Serrão
44%
Capi
44%
Helio Silva
44%
Juíza Jô
44%
Lucas Barreto
44%
Rayssa Furlan
44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
44%
Randolfe
44%
Acácio Favacho 44%
Alliny Serrão 44%
Capi 44%
Helio Silva 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Acácio Favacho
$0 Vol.
44%
Alliny Serrão
$0 Vol.
44%
Capi
$0 Vol.
44%
Helio Silva
$0 Vol.
44%
Juíza Jô
$0 Vol.
44%
Lucas Barreto
$0 Vol.
44%
Rayssa Furlan
$0 Vol.
44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
$0 Vol.
44%
Randolfe
$0 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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